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The CS20 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −53.46$

Invest at least 148.72$

Average return 95.26$

ROI −36.0%

Chance of profit 15%

With float: invest at least 148.72 $, profit at most −53.46 $

float premium: at least 83 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −24 $

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is +0.79 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

16.81 $

at 4.20

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Inferno (Factory New) — 4.64 $ +0.43 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0033
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Buddy (Factory New) — 4.93 $ +0.73 $ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0000–0.0027
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Plastique (Factory New) — 5.50 $ +1.30 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0039

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

43.41 $

at 7.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) — 7.91 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0742
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 11.05 $ +3.81 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0015
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 15.70 $ +8.46 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0038

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 60.22 $ +35.04 (+58.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −33 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

33.63 $

at 4.20

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Inferno (Factory New) — 4.64 $ +0.43 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0071
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Buddy (Factory New) — 4.93 $ +0.73 $ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0000–0.0057
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Plastique (Factory New) — 5.50 $ +1.30 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0083

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

14.47 $

at 7.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) — 7.91 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0789
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 11.05 $ +3.81 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0020
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 15.70 $ +8.46 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0051

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 48.10 $ +4.89 (+10.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −31 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

29.43 $

at 4.20

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Inferno (Factory New) — 4.64 $ +0.43 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0061
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Buddy (Factory New) — 4.93 $ +0.73 $ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0000–0.0049
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Plastique (Factory New) — 5.50 $ +1.30 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0072

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0777

21.70 $

at 7.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) — 7.91 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0777
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 11.05 $ +3.81 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0019
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 15.70 $ +8.46 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0047

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 51.13 $ +12.42 (+24.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −29 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

25.22 $

at 4.20

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Inferno (Factory New) — 4.64 $ +0.43 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0051
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Buddy (Factory New) — 4.93 $ +0.73 $ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0000–0.0041
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Plastique (Factory New) — 5.50 $ +1.30 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0061

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

28.94 $

at 7.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) — 7.91 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 11.05 $ +3.81 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0017
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 15.70 $ +8.46 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0044

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 54.16 $ +19.96 (+36.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −26 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

21.02 $

at 4.20

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Inferno (Factory New) — 4.64 $ +0.43 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0042
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Buddy (Factory New) — 4.93 $ +0.73 $ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0000–0.0034
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Plastique (Factory New) — 5.50 $ +1.30 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0050

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

36.17 $

at 7.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) — 7.91 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0753
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 11.05 $ +3.81 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0016
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 15.70 $ +8.46 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0041

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 57.19 $ +27.50 (+48.1%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 27%
About break-even 28%

in profit

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

140.05 $ 15.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera

Factory New

float up to 0.063243

158.17 $ 15.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Factory New

float up to 0.063243

71.85 $ 15.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

233.00 $ 15.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy

Factory New

float up to 0.005405

15.93 $ 13.33%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ MP9 | Hydra

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

72.09 $ 13.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia

Factory New

float up to 0.007702

21.85 $ 13.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The CS20 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Fever Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Recoil Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +28.39 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +34.06 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3390333 · The Gallery Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 38.98$ · invest 63.86$
profit on prices without salesat least −24 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec (Factory New)
Craft 3400155 · The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 37.11$ · invest 80.57$
profit on prices without salesat least −43 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074891 instead of 0.074231
Craft 3385406 · The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 36.69$ · invest 71.18$
profit on prices without salesat least −32 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074231
Craft 3400477 · The Snakebite Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 35.96$ · invest 59.08$
profit on prices without salesat least −21 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074006 instead of 0.074231
Craft 3388644 · The Fever Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 35.29$ · invest 60.25$
profit on prices without salesat least −23 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074123 instead of 0.074231
Craft 3384450 · The Danger Zone Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 34.30$ · invest 56.80$
profit on prices without salesat least −14 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074006 instead of 0.074231
Craft 3389401 · The Fracture Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 31.62$ · invest 57.32$
profit on prices without salesat least −17 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074330 instead of 0.074231
Craft 3392263 · The Genesis Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 31.34$ · invest 75.71$
profit on prices without salesat least −26 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074656 instead of 0.074231

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The CS20 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build