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The Chroma 2 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −105.22$

Invest at least 181.65$

Average return 76.43$

ROI −57.9%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 181.65 $, profit at most −105.22 $

float premium: at least 104 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +5.58 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

FAMAS | Djinn

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

13.26 $

at 13.26

if this one runs out, you can take

Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested) — 14.17 $ +0.90 $ per item · on the market 285 · buy 0.1500–0.2262
Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) — 14.28 $ +1.02 $ per item · on the market 309 · buy 0.1500–0.2347

Steam

×7

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

46.88 $

at 6.70

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Field-Tested) — 6.71 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 748 · buy 0.1500–0.1683
MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested) — 6.79 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 689 · buy 0.1500–0.1683

Steam

×2

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

15.14 $

at 7.57

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear) — 7.59 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 390 · buy 0.0700–0.0763
MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) — 7.69 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 306 · buy 0.0700–0.0763

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 75.28 $ +1.15 (+1.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

FAMAS | Djinn

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

66.31 $

at 13.26

if this one runs out, you can take

Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested) — 14.17 $ +0.90 $ per item · on the market 285 · buy 0.1500–0.2262
Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) — 14.28 $ +1.02 $ per item · on the market 309 · buy 0.1500–0.2347

Steam

×3

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

20.09 $

at 6.70

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Field-Tested) — 6.71 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 748 · buy 0.1500–0.1683
MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested) — 6.79 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 689 · buy 0.1500–0.1683

Steam

×2

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

15.14 $

at 7.57

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear) — 7.59 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 390 · buy 0.0700–0.0763
MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) — 7.69 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 306 · buy 0.0700–0.0763

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 101.54 $ +3.38 (+3.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

FAMAS | Djinn

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

53.05 $

at 13.26

if this one runs out, you can take

Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested) — 14.17 $ +0.90 $ per item · on the market 285 · buy 0.1500–0.2262
Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) — 14.28 $ +1.02 $ per item · on the market 309 · buy 0.1500–0.2347

Steam

×4

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

26.79 $

at 6.70

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Field-Tested) — 6.71 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 748 · buy 0.1500–0.1683
MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested) — 6.79 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 689 · buy 0.1500–0.1683

Steam

×2

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

15.14 $

at 7.57

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear) — 7.59 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 390 · buy 0.0700–0.0763
MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) — 7.69 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 306 · buy 0.0700–0.0763

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 94.98 $ +2.82 (+3.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

FAMAS | Djinn

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

39.79 $

at 13.26

if this one runs out, you can take

Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested) — 14.17 $ +0.90 $ per item · on the market 285 · buy 0.1500–0.2262
Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) — 14.28 $ +1.02 $ per item · on the market 309 · buy 0.1500–0.2347

Steam

×5

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

33.48 $

at 6.70

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Field-Tested) — 6.71 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 748 · buy 0.1500–0.1683
MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested) — 6.79 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 689 · buy 0.1500–0.1683

Steam

×2

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

15.14 $

at 7.57

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear) — 7.59 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 390 · buy 0.0700–0.0763
MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) — 7.69 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 306 · buy 0.0700–0.0763

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 88.41 $ +2.27 (+2.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 45%

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Nightwish

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

74.85 $ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119999

84.56 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Hyper Beast

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

154.13 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MAC-10 | Neon Rider

Factory New

float up to 0.067499

169.11 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 2 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The Danger Zone Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Chroma 3 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Fever Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −8.81 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −1.39 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 2 Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3386457 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 1.15$ · invest 75.47$
M4A1-S | Decimator (Field-Tested) instead of FAMAS | Djinn (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165050 instead of 0.168399; FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075234 instead of 0.076399
Craft 3380430 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 1.08$ · invest 75.75$
P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) instead of FAMAS | Djinn (Field-Tested); FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167536 instead of 0.168399; FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076099 instead of 0.076399

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma 2 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build