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Crafts · The Chroma 2 Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

$≈

The Chroma 2 Collection + The Gamma Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −153.11$

Invest at least 407.93$

Average return 254.82$

ROI −37.5%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 407.93 $, profit at most −153.11 $

float premium: at least 196 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −160 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈3, цена занижена

×9

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

133.97 $

at 14.89

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Minimal Wear) — 17.92 $ +3.04 $ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0700–0.0769
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested) — 21.89 $ +7.01 $ per item · on the market 70 · buy 0.1500–0.1576

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

25.74 $

at 25.74

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New) — 28.61 $ +2.86 $ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0000–0.0049
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) — 148.10 $ +122.36 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0077

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 159.71 $ +95.12 (+59.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −171 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈3, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1676

119.08 $

at 14.89

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Minimal Wear) — 17.92 $ +3.04 $ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0700–0.0845
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested) — 21.89 $ +7.01 $ per item · on the market 70 · buy 0.1500–0.1633

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

51.48 $

at 25.74

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New) — 28.61 $ +2.86 $ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0000–0.0075
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) — 148.10 $ +122.36 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0119

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 170.56 $ +73.59 (+43.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −180 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈3, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1676

74.43 $

at 14.89

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Minimal Wear) — 17.92 $ +3.04 $ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0700–0.0845
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested) — 21.89 $ +7.01 $ per item · on the market 70 · buy 0.1500–0.1633

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

28.61 $

at 14.30

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) — 25.74 $ +11.44 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0543
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) — 47.31 $ +33.00 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.1208

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

77.22 $

at 25.74

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New) — 28.61 $ +2.86 $ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0000–0.0075
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) — 148.10 $ +122.36 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0119

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 180.26 $ +31.89 (+17.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −170 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈3, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

104.20 $

at 14.89

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Minimal Wear) — 17.92 $ +3.04 $ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0700–0.0802
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested) — 21.89 $ +7.01 $ per item · on the market 70 · buy 0.1500–0.1601

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

14.30 $

at 14.30

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) — 25.74 $ +11.44 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0535
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) — 47.31 $ +33.00 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.1189

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

51.48 $

at 25.74

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New) — 28.61 $ +2.86 $ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0000–0.0060
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) — 148.10 $ +122.36 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0096

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 169.98 $ +63.50 (+37.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −180 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈3, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

59.54 $

at 14.89

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Minimal Wear) — 17.92 $ +3.04 $ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0700–0.0792
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested) — 21.89 $ +7.01 $ per item · on the market 70 · buy 0.1500–0.1594

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

42.91 $

at 14.30

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) — 25.74 $ +11.44 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0533
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) — 47.31 $ +33.00 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.1185

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

77.22 $

at 25.74

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New) — 28.61 $ +2.86 $ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0000–0.0057
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) — 148.10 $ +122.36 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0090

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 179.67 $ +21.80 (+12.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 5%
About break-even 45%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

419.69 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Neon Rider

Factory New

float up to 0.031499

190.94 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.037799

130.18 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Mecha Industries

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

235.05 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 2 Collection + The Gamma Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Chroma 2 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Gamma Collection Variant 4 The Revolution Collection instead of The Chroma 2 Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Gamma Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Chroma 2 Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +74.14 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +89.45 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 2 Collection and The Gamma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3379129 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 98.78$ · invest 150.48$
profit on prices without salesat least −144 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New); StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161594 instead of 0.161529
Craft 3379483 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 97.46$ · invest 159.26$
profit on prices without salesat least −150 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New); StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161767 instead of 0.161529
Craft 3379546 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 94.78$ · invest 170.93$
profit on prices without salesat least −171 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New); StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161822 instead of 0.161529
Craft 3380114 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 94.47$ · invest 167.57$
profit on prices without salesat least −144 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New); StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161658 instead of 0.161529
Craft 3379773 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 91.01$ · invest 165.98$
profit on prices without salesat least −166 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New); StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161733 instead of 0.161529
Craft 3379350 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 89.85$ · invest 169.98$
profit on prices without salesat least −170 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New); StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161822 instead of 0.161529

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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