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Crafts · The Chroma 2 Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

$≈

The Chroma 2 Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −164.49$

Invest at least 421.47$

Average return 256.98$

ROI −39.0%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 421.47 $, profit at most −164.49 $

float premium: at least 203 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −166 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈3, цена занижена

×9

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

133.97 $

at 14.89

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Minimal Wear) — 17.92 $ +3.04 $ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0700–0.0771
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested) — 21.89 $ +7.01 $ per item · on the market 70 · buy 0.1500–0.1578

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

32.01 $

at 32.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Factory New) — 47.02 $ +15.01 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Factory New) — 57.00 $ +24.99 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0054

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 165.98 $ +91.01 (+54.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −194 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈3, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

29.77 $

at 14.89

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Minimal Wear) — 17.92 $ +3.04 $ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0700–0.0821
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested) — 21.89 $ +7.01 $ per item · on the market 70 · buy 0.1500–0.1616

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Disco Tech

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

132.52 $

at 18.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear) — 20.30 $ +1.37 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0700–0.0754
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) — 32.01 $ +13.08 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0490

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

32.01 $

at 32.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Factory New) — 47.02 $ +15.01 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0073
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Factory New) — 57.00 $ +24.99 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0073

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 194.30 $ +3.10 (+1.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −190 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈3, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

44.66 $

at 14.89

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Minimal Wear) — 17.92 $ +3.04 $ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0700–0.0808
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested) — 21.89 $ +7.01 $ per item · on the market 70 · buy 0.1500–0.1606

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Disco Tech

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

113.59 $

at 18.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear) — 20.30 $ +1.37 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0700–0.0751
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) — 32.01 $ +13.08 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0488

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

32.01 $

at 32.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Factory New) — 47.02 $ +15.01 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0068
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Factory New) — 57.00 $ +24.99 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0068

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 190.26 $ +15.66 (+8.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −186 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈3, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

59.54 $

at 14.89

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Minimal Wear) — 17.92 $ +3.04 $ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0700–0.0798
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested) — 21.89 $ +7.01 $ per item · on the market 70 · buy 0.1500–0.1598

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Disco Tech

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

94.66 $

at 18.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear) — 20.30 $ +1.37 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0700–0.0748
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) — 32.01 $ +13.08 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0486

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

32.01 $

at 32.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Factory New) — 47.02 $ +15.01 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0064
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Factory New) — 57.00 $ +24.99 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0064

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 186.21 $ +28.22 (+15.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −182 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈3, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

74.43 $

at 14.89

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Minimal Wear) — 17.92 $ +3.04 $ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0700–0.0790
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Eco (Field-Tested) — 21.89 $ +7.01 $ per item · on the market 70 · buy 0.1500–0.1593

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Disco Tech

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

75.73 $

at 18.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear) — 20.30 $ +1.37 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0700–0.0746
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) — 32.01 $ +13.08 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0484

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

32.01 $

at 32.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Factory New) — 47.02 $ +15.01 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0062
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Factory New) — 57.00 $ +24.99 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0062

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 182.16 $ +40.77 (+22.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 50%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

419.69 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Neon Rider

Factory New

float up to 0.031499

190.94 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

worst

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

185.04 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Player Two

Factory New

float up to 0.058799

229.83 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 2 Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Prisma 2 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Chroma 2 Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Prisma 2 Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Chroma 2 Collection Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Prisma 2 Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +69.69 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +84.52 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 2 Collection and The Prisma 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3379129 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 98.78$ · invest 150.48$
profit on prices without salesat least −144 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New); StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161594 instead of 0.161733
Craft 3379483 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 97.46$ · invest 159.26$
profit on prices without salesat least −150 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New); StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161767 instead of 0.161733
Craft 3379417 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 95.12$ · invest 159.71$
profit on prices without salesat least −160 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New); StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161529 instead of 0.161733
Craft 3379546 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 94.78$ · invest 170.93$
profit on prices without salesat least −171 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New); StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161822 instead of 0.161733
Craft 3380114 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 94.47$ · invest 167.57$
profit on prices without salesat least −144 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New); StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161658 instead of 0.161733
Craft 3379350 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 89.85$ · invest 169.98$
profit on prices without salesat least −170 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New); StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161822 instead of 0.161733

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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