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The Chroma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −8.80$

Invest at least 17.56$

Average return 8.76$

ROI −50.1%

Chance of profit 2%

With float: invest at least 17.56 $, profit at most −8.80 $

float premium: at least 10 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Origami

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

0.36 $

at 0.36

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Valence (Field-Tested) — 0.47 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 734 · buy 0.1500–0.2357
StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) — 0.58 $ +0.22 $ per item · on the market 227 · buy 0.1000–0.1294
StatTrak™ MP7 | Armor Core (Minimal Wear) — 1.00 $ +0.64 $ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.0700–0.1473

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war

Minimal Wear

buy 0.1000–0.1026

4.63 $

at 0.58

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Origami (Factory New) — 0.92 $ +0.34 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0144
StatTrak™ MP7 | Armor Core (Factory New) — 1.59 $ +1.01 $ per item · on the market 121 · buy 0.0000–0.0131
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Factory New) — 2.13 $ +1.55 $ per item · on the market 301 · buy 0.0000–0.0120

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

2.21 $

at 2.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) — 3.22 $ +1.01 $ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.1500–0.2046
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Minimal Wear) — 3.60 $ +1.39 $ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0700–0.0781
StatTrak™ Negev | Bratatat (Field-Tested) — 4.19 $ +1.97 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.1500–0.1954

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.21 $ +1.55 (+21.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Origami

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

0.51 $

at 0.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) — 0.58 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 227 · buy 0.1000–0.1134
StatTrak™ P250 | Valence (Minimal Wear) — 1.25 $ +0.74 $ per item · on the market 200 · buy 0.0700–0.1076
StatTrak™ MP7 | Armor Core (Factory New) — 1.59 $ +1.08 $ per item · on the market 121 · buy 0.0000–0.0673

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war

Minimal Wear

buy 0.1000–0.1025

4.05 $

at 0.58

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Origami (Factory New) — 0.92 $ +0.34 $ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0000–0.0138
StatTrak™ MP7 | Armor Core (Factory New) — 1.59 $ +1.01 $ per item · on the market 121 · buy 0.0000–0.0126
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Factory New) — 2.13 $ +1.55 $ per item · on the market 301 · buy 0.0000–0.0116

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

4.43 $

at 2.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) — 3.22 $ +1.01 $ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.1500–0.2037
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Minimal Wear) — 3.60 $ +1.39 $ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0700–0.0777
StatTrak™ Negev | Bratatat (Field-Tested) — 4.19 $ +1.97 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.1500–0.1943

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.99 $ +1.19 (+13.2%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 29%
Losing outcome 49%
About break-even 22%

about break-even

StatTrak™ AWP | Worm God

Factory New

float up to 0.031499

8.41 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Pole Position

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

7.12 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heat

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16.79 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix

Field-Tested

float up to 0.256999

1.42 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

4.89 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

87.85 $ 2.00%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption

Factory New

float up to 0.013999

13.69 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

11.05 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

6.44 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Chroma 3 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Gallery Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.22 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.53 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 2 Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3379558 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 1.58$ · invest 6.32$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Twist (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Origami (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163719 instead of 0.162070; StatTrak™ Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.102982 instead of 0.102623

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build