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The Chroma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −22.70$

Invest at least 45.99$

Average return 23.29$

ROI −49.4%

Chance of profit 2%

With float: invest at least 45.99 $, profit at most −22.70 $

float premium: at least 27 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈4, цена занижена

×9

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2562

14.65 $

at 1.63

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) — 8.33 $ +6.70 $ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0000–0.0434
StatTrak™ AWP | Worm God (Factory New) — 8.41 $ +6.78 $ per item · on the market 189 · buy 0.0000–0.0279
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heat (Factory New) — 16.81 $ +15.18 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0000–0.0621

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

3.45 $

at 3.45

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Field-Tested) — 4.26 $ +0.81 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.1500–0.1642
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 11.05 $ +7.59 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0112
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 15.70 $ +12.25 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0281

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18.10 $ +5.19 (+28.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈3, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.2552

13.03 $

at 1.63

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Factory New) — 8.33 $ +6.70 $ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0000–0.0370
StatTrak™ AWP | Worm God (Factory New) — 8.41 $ +6.78 $ per item · on the market 189 · buy 0.0000–0.0238
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heat (Factory New) — 16.81 $ +15.18 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0000–0.0529

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

6.90 $

at 3.45

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Field-Tested) — 4.26 $ +0.81 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.1500–0.1621
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 11.05 $ +7.59 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0110
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 15.70 $ +12.25 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0276

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19.93 $ +4.40 (+22.1%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 38%
Losing outcome 32%
About break-even 30%

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

40.87 $ 30.00%

rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business

Field-Tested

float up to 0.155999

14.89 $ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Eco

Field-Tested

float up to 0.152499

21.06 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

43.54 $ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076799

33.44 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076799

18.44 $ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

54.31 $ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Snakebite Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Recoil Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Spectrum Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Danger Zone Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.63 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.33 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 2 Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3379000 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 5.70$ · invest 16.23$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): float at most 0.255958 instead of 0.256211
Craft 3379799 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 5.66$ · invest 15.56$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Gauss (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested): float at most 0.255958 instead of 0.256211

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build