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Crafts · The Chroma 3 Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

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The Chroma 3 Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +120.10$

Invest 158.09$

Average return 278.19$

ROI +76.0%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 398.29 $, profit at most −120.10 $

float premium: at least 232 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −158 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

14.91 $

at 14.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear) — 15.96 $ +1.05 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0966
StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 16.81 $ +1.90 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.1500–0.1870

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

11.05 $

at 11.05

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear) — 17.39 $ +6.34 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0700–0.1191
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) — 19.88 $ +8.83 $ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0700–0.0893

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

132.14 $

at 16.52

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 31.29 $ +14.78 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0046
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 32.54 $ +16.03 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0062

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 158.09 $ +120.10 (+76.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −183 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

47.87 $

at 15.96

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 16.81 $ +0.85 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.1500–0.1698
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) — 21.51 $ +5.55 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0597

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

86.04 $

at 21.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Factory New) — 37.55 $ +16.04 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0086
StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear) — 85.72 $ +64.21 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.1000–0.1078

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

49.55 $

at 16.52

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 31.29 $ +14.78 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0080
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 32.54 $ +16.03 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0106

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 183.46 $ +64.10 (+34.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −178 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

47.87 $

at 15.96

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 16.81 $ +0.85 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.1500–0.1695
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) — 21.51 $ +5.55 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0595

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

64.53 $

at 21.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Factory New) — 37.55 $ +16.04 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0082
StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear) — 85.72 $ +64.21 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.1000–0.1074

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

66.07 $

at 16.52

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 31.29 $ +14.78 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0076
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 32.54 $ +16.03 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0101

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 178.46 $ +74.20 (+41.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −173 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

47.87 $

at 15.96

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 16.81 $ +0.85 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.1500–0.1692
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) — 21.51 $ +5.55 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0592

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

43.02 $

at 21.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Factory New) — 37.55 $ +16.04 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0079
StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear) — 85.72 $ +64.21 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.1000–0.1071

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

82.59 $

at 16.52

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 31.29 $ +14.78 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0073
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 32.54 $ +16.03 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0097

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 173.47 $ +84.30 (+48.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −168 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

47.87 $

at 15.96

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 16.81 $ +0.85 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.1500–0.1690
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) — 21.51 $ +5.55 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0590

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

21.51 $

at 21.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Factory New) — 37.55 $ +16.04 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0075
StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear) — 85.72 $ +64.21 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.1000–0.1068

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

99.10 $

at 16.52

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 31.29 $ +14.78 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0070
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 32.54 $ +16.03 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0093

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 168.48 $ +94.39 (+56.0%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

562.31 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.015384

89.27 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis

Factory New

float up to 0.015384

139.91 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire

Factory New

float up to 0.030461

394.25 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 3 Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 4 The Fever Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +104.88 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +118.09 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 3 Collection and The Danger Zone Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3379128 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 123.45$ · invest 158.07$
profit on prices without salesat least −158 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075368 instead of 0.074438; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004697 instead of 0.003883
Craft 3383454 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 121.39$ · invest 158.82$
profit on prices without salesat least −159 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075746 instead of 0.074438; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.005028 instead of 0.003883
Craft 3384283 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 120.35$ · invest 159.04$
profit on prices without salesat least −159 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075746 instead of 0.074438; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.005028 instead of 0.003883
Craft 3383599 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 117.47$ · invest 158.06$
profit on prices without salesat least −148 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074648 instead of 0.074438; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004067 instead of 0.003883
Craft 3383699 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 113.55$ · invest 159.19$
profit on prices without salesat least −150 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074289 instead of 0.074438; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.003753 instead of 0.003883

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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