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The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −1.91$

Invest at least 4.28$

Average return 2.37$

ROI −44.5%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 4.28 $, profit at most −1.91 $

float premium: at least 2 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4780

0.22 $

at 0.22

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 0.49 $ +0.27 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0700–0.1053
StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) — 0.56 $ +0.34 $ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0700–0.0780
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) — 0.99 $ +0.77 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0676

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4780

1.05 $

at 0.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.4500–0.4780
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.4500–0.4780
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.4500–0.4780

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

0.51 $

at 0.25

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.1500–0.1617
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 99 · buy 0.1500–0.1617
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 0.29 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.1500–0.1617

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.78 $ +0.59 (+33.4%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 6 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5571

1.34 $

at 0.22

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Field-Tested) — 0.27 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.1500–0.2121
StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Field-Tested) — 0.34 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 297 · buy 0.1500–0.1571
StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Minimal Wear) — 0.48 $ +0.26 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.1309

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5571

0.60 $

at 0.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.4500–0.5571
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.4500–0.5571
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.4500–0.5571

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.94 $ +0.04 (+2.0%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 5 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5349

1.12 $

at 0.22

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Field-Tested) — 0.27 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 103 · buy 0.1500–0.1822
StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Minimal Wear) — 0.48 $ +0.26 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.1124
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Ventilators (Minimal Wear) — 0.52 $ +0.30 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0700–0.1012

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5349

0.75 $

at 0.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.4500–0.5349
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.4500–0.5349
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.4500–0.5349

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.87 $ +0.19 (+10.2%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 4 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5105

0.89 $

at 0.22

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Minimal Wear) — 0.48 $ +0.26 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0921
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 0.49 $ +0.27 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0700–0.1492
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Ventilators (Minimal Wear) — 0.52 $ +0.30 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0700–0.0828

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5105

0.90 $

at 0.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.4500–0.5105
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.4500–0.5105
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.4500–0.5105

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.79 $ +0.34 (+19.1%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4833

0.67 $

at 0.22

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 0.49 $ +0.27 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0700–0.1124
StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) — 0.56 $ +0.34 $ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0700–0.0833
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Minimal Wear) — 0.64 $ +0.42 $ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0722

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4833

1.05 $

at 0.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.4500–0.4833
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.4500–0.4833
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.4500–0.4833

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.72 $ +0.50 (+28.8%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 38%
Losing outcome 26%
About break-even 36%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

3.34 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

1.93 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

4.84 $ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

1.99 $ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

2.00 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Red Astor

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

1.57 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Firefight

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

1.74 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

2.87 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Re-Entry

Field-Tested

float up to 0.163399

1.63 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Black Tie

Field-Tested

float up to 0.284999

1.77 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Gallery Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.30 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.56 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 3 Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build