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The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +65.75₴

Invest 214.88₴

Average return 280.64₴

ROI +30.6%

Chance of profit 64%

With float: invest at least 499.61 ₴, profit at most −218.98 ₴

float premium: at least 286 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +66.78 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 4 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×4

Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4784

67.37 ₴

at 16.84

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 18.75 ₴ +1.90 ₴ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0700–0.1058
P2000 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) — 18.96 ₴ +2.12 ₴ per item · on the market 321 · buy 0.0700–0.0784
M249 | Spectre (Factory New) — 23.03 ₴ +6.19 ₴ per item · on the market 334 · buy 0.0000–0.0653

Steam

×4

M249 | Spectre

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

92.12 ₴

at 23.03

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) — 24.58 ₴ +1.55 ₴ per item · on the market 300 · buy 0.0000–0.0037
Dual Berettas | Ventilators (Factory New) — 25.08 ₴ +2.05 ₴ per item · on the market 435 · buy 0.0000–0.0032
MP9 | Bioleak (Factory New) — 29.73 ₴ +6.70 ₴ per item · on the market 307 · buy 0.0000–0.0036

Steam

×2

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

55.39 ₴

at 27.70

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 28.72 ₴ +1.03 ₴ per item · on the market 447 · buy 0.0700–0.0741
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 35.53 ₴ +7.83 ₴ per item · on the market 165 · buy 0.0000–0.0518
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 80.21 ₴ +52.51 ₴ per item · on the market 843 · buy 0.0000–0.0341

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 214.88 ₴ +65.75 (+30.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −95 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

M249 | Spectre

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

23.03 ₴

at 23.03

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) — 24.58 ₴ +1.55 ₴ per item · on the market 300 · buy 0.0000–0.0059
Dual Berettas | Ventilators (Factory New) — 25.08 ₴ +2.05 ₴ per item · on the market 435 · buy 0.0000–0.0051
MP9 | Bioleak (Factory New) — 29.73 ₴ +6.70 ₴ per item · on the market 307 · buy 0.0000–0.0056

Steam

×9

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

249.28 ₴

at 27.70

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 28.72 ₴ +1.03 ₴ per item · on the market 447 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 35.53 ₴ +7.83 ₴ per item · on the market 165 · buy 0.0000–0.0535
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 80.21 ₴ +52.51 ₴ per item · on the market 843 · buy 0.0000–0.0351

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 272.30 ₴ +33.78 (+12.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −58 ₴

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×1

Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4896

16.84 ₴

at 16.84

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Bioleak (Minimal Wear) — 18.28 ₴ +1.44 ₴ per item · on the market 529 · buy 0.0700–0.0747
G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Minimal Wear) — 18.72 ₴ +1.88 ₴ per item · on the market 219 · buy 0.0700–0.0777
SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 18.75 ₴ +1.90 ₴ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0700–0.1210

Steam

×2

M249 | Spectre

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

46.06 ₴

at 23.03

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) — 24.58 ₴ +1.55 ₴ per item · on the market 300 · buy 0.0000–0.0052
Dual Berettas | Ventilators (Factory New) — 25.08 ₴ +2.05 ₴ per item · on the market 435 · buy 0.0000–0.0045
MP9 | Bioleak (Factory New) — 29.73 ₴ +6.70 ₴ per item · on the market 307 · buy 0.0000–0.0050

Steam

×7

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

193.88 ₴

at 27.70

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 28.72 ₴ +1.03 ₴ per item · on the market 447 · buy 0.0700–0.0757
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 35.53 ₴ +7.83 ₴ per item · on the market 165 · buy 0.0000–0.0530
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 80.21 ₴ +52.51 ₴ per item · on the market 843 · buy 0.0000–0.0348

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 256.78 ₴ +42.03 (+16.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −21 ₴

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 2 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×2

Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4880

33.69 ₴

at 16.84

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Bioleak (Minimal Wear) — 18.28 ₴ +1.44 ₴ per item · on the market 529 · buy 0.0700–0.0733
G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Minimal Wear) — 18.72 ₴ +1.88 ₴ per item · on the market 219 · buy 0.0700–0.0762
SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 18.75 ₴ +1.90 ₴ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0700–0.1188

Steam

×3

M249 | Spectre

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

69.09 ₴

at 23.03

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) — 24.58 ₴ +1.55 ₴ per item · on the market 300 · buy 0.0000–0.0050
Dual Berettas | Ventilators (Factory New) — 25.08 ₴ +2.05 ₴ per item · on the market 435 · buy 0.0000–0.0043
MP9 | Bioleak (Factory New) — 29.73 ₴ +6.70 ₴ per item · on the market 307 · buy 0.0000–0.0048

Steam

×5

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

138.49 ₴

at 27.70

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 28.72 ₴ +1.03 ₴ per item · on the market 447 · buy 0.0700–0.0755
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 35.53 ₴ +7.83 ₴ per item · on the market 165 · buy 0.0000–0.0528
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 80.21 ₴ +52.51 ₴ per item · on the market 843 · buy 0.0000–0.0347

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 241.26 ₴ +50.28 (+20.8%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×3

Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4871

50.53 ₴

at 16.84

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Bioleak (Minimal Wear) — 18.28 ₴ +1.44 ₴ per item · on the market 529 · buy 0.0700–0.0726
G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Minimal Wear) — 18.72 ₴ +1.88 ₴ per item · on the market 219 · buy 0.0700–0.0755
SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 18.75 ₴ +1.90 ₴ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0700–0.1176

Steam

×4

M249 | Spectre

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

92.12 ₴

at 23.03

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) — 24.58 ₴ +1.55 ₴ per item · on the market 300 · buy 0.0000–0.0049
Dual Berettas | Ventilators (Factory New) — 25.08 ₴ +2.05 ₴ per item · on the market 435 · buy 0.0000–0.0042
MP9 | Bioleak (Factory New) — 29.73 ₴ +6.70 ₴ per item · on the market 307 · buy 0.0000–0.0047

Steam

×3

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

83.09 ₴

at 27.70

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 28.72 ₴ +1.03 ₴ per item · on the market 447 · buy 0.0700–0.0754
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 35.53 ₴ +7.83 ₴ per item · on the market 165 · buy 0.0000–0.0527
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 80.21 ₴ +52.51 ₴ per item · on the market 843 · buy 0.0000–0.0346

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 225.74 ₴ +58.53 (+25.9%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 36%
About break-even 4%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

159.85 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Firefight

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

473.53 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

455.36 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Re-Entry

Factory New

float up to 0.030099

330.38 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

152.72 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

293.57 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

824.71 ₴ 4.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

368.10 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

248.58 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

45.90 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +12.03 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +44.09 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 3 Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3380894 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 61.05₴ · invest 211.75₴
UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.488210 instead of 0.478419; M249 | Spectre (Factory New): float at most 0.004863 instead of 0.003617
Craft 3380620 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 57.15₴ · invest 198.93₴
rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): 5 pcs instead of 4; Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.479495 instead of 0.478419; M249 | Spectre (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 4; M249 | Spectre (Factory New): float at most 0.003753 instead of 0.003617
Craft 3380919 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 56.36₴ · invest 181.92₴
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear), R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.478724 instead of 0.478419; M249 | Spectre (Factory New): 2 pcs instead of 4; M249 | Spectre (Factory New): float at most 0.003655 instead of 0.003617
Craft 3377382 · The CS20 Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 55.24₴ · invest 201.50₴
FAMAS | Decommissioned (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build