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The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −172.26₴

Invest at least 301.53₴

Average return 129.26₴

ROI −57.1%

Chance of profit 8%

With float: invest at least 301.53 ₴, profit at most −172.26 ₴

float premium: at least 163 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +4.68 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 6 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4777

60.96 ₴

at 10.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 22.23 ₴ +12.07 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0700–0.1049
StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) — 25.61 ₴ +15.45 ₴ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0700–0.0777
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) — 45.16 ₴ +35.00 ₴ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0673

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4777

33.44 ₴

at 16.72

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested) — 20.38 ₴ +3.66 ₴ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.1500–0.3800
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested) — 23.48 ₴ +6.76 ₴ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.1500–0.3344
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Battle-Scarred) — 43.90 ₴ +27.18 ₴ per item · on the market 108 · buy 0.4500–0.4777

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3835

33.77 ₴

at 16.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested) — 20.38 ₴ +3.50 ₴ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.1500–0.3800
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested) — 23.48 ₴ +6.60 ₴ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.1500–0.2684
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Well-Worn) — 52.90 ₴ +36.02 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.3800–0.3835

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 128.16 ₴ +1.10 (+0.9%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 5 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4946

50.80 ₴

at 10.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Minimal Wear) — 21.79 ₴ +11.63 ₴ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0788
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 22.23 ₴ +12.07 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0700–0.1277
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Ventilators (Minimal Wear) — 23.76 ₴ +13.60 ₴ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0700–0.0709

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3856

67.53 ₴

at 16.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested) — 20.38 ₴ +3.50 ₴ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.1500–0.3800
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested) — 23.48 ₴ +6.60 ₴ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.1500–0.2699
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Well-Worn) — 52.90 ₴ +36.02 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.3800–0.3856

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1686

20.38 ₴

at 20.38

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 22.08 ₴ +1.70 ₴ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.1500–0.1686
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 32.41 ₴ +12.03 ₴ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0700–0.1180
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 101.44 ₴ +81.06 ₴ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.1500–0.1686

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 138.71 ₴ +1.56 (+1.1%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 4 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4932

40.64 ₴

at 10.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Minimal Wear) — 21.79 ₴ +11.63 ₴ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0777
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 22.23 ₴ +12.07 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0700–0.1259
StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) — 25.61 ₴ +15.45 ₴ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0700–0.0932

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3855

67.53 ₴

at 16.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested) — 20.38 ₴ +3.50 ₴ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.1500–0.3800
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested) — 23.48 ₴ +6.60 ₴ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.1500–0.2698
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Well-Worn) — 52.90 ₴ +36.02 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.3800–0.3855

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

40.76 ₴

at 20.38

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 22.08 ₴ +1.70 ₴ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.1500–0.1680
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 32.41 ₴ +12.03 ₴ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0700–0.1176
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 101.44 ₴ +81.06 ₴ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.1500–0.1680

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 148.93 ₴ +2.34 (+1.6%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4913

30.48 ₴

at 10.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Minimal Wear) — 21.79 ₴ +11.63 ₴ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0761
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 22.23 ₴ +12.07 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0700–0.1233
StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) — 25.61 ₴ +15.45 ₴ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0700–0.0913

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3852

67.53 ₴

at 16.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested) — 20.38 ₴ +3.50 ₴ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.1500–0.3800
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested) — 23.48 ₴ +6.60 ₴ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.1500–0.2696
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Well-Worn) — 52.90 ₴ +36.02 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.3800–0.3852

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1673

61.15 ₴

at 20.38

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 22.08 ₴ +1.70 ₴ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.1500–0.1673
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 32.41 ₴ +12.03 ₴ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0700–0.1171
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 101.44 ₴ +81.06 ₴ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.1500–0.1673

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 159.16 ₴ +3.12 (+2.0%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 2 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4886

20.32 ₴

at 10.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Minimal Wear) — 21.79 ₴ +11.63 ₴ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0739
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 22.23 ₴ +12.07 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0700–0.1197
StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) — 25.61 ₴ +15.45 ₴ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0700–0.0886

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3849

67.53 ₴

at 16.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested) — 20.38 ₴ +3.50 ₴ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.1500–0.3800
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested) — 23.48 ₴ +6.60 ₴ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.1500–0.2694
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Well-Worn) — 52.90 ₴ +36.02 ₴ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.3800–0.3849

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

81.53 ₴

at 20.38

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 22.08 ₴ +1.70 ₴ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.1500–0.1661
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 32.41 ₴ +12.03 ₴ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0700–0.1163
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 101.44 ₴ +81.06 ₴ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.1500–0.1661

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 169.38 ₴ +3.90 (+2.3%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 24%
Losing outcome 76%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Red Astor

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249999

71.55 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Firefight

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249999

78.91 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249999

130.19 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Re-Entry

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107499

129.17 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Black Tie

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

80.37 ₴ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

176.20 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249999

77.26 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.129999

585.32 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.124999

182.69 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.267499

101.44 ₴ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 6 The Gallery Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −18.51 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −2.07 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 3 Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build