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The Chroma 3 Collection + The Fever Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +0.05$

Invest 1.91$

Average return 1.96$

ROI +2.8%

Chance of profit 44%

With float: invest at least 4.78 $, profit at most −2.82 $

float premium: at least 3 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈7, цена занижена

×1

M249 | Spectre

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0086

0.51 $

at 0.51

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) — 0.54 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 300 · buy 0.0000–0.0090
Dual Berettas | Ventilators (Factory New) — 0.55 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 435 · buy 0.0000–0.0077
MP9 | Bioleak (Factory New) — 0.65 $ +0.15 $ per item · on the market 307 · buy 0.0000–0.0086

Steam

×9

XM1014 | Mockingbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0798

1.40 $

at 0.16

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 471 · buy 0.0700–0.0719
MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 0.18 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 690 · buy 0.0700–0.0798
MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 0.22 $ +0.06 $ per item · on the market 771 · buy 0.0700–0.0798

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.91 $ +0.05 (+2.8%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 42%
Losing outcome 56%
About break-even 2%

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.041975

1.71 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Control

Factory New

float up to 0.058839

2.82 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Nova | Rising Sun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.073641

1.03 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Wave Breaker

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3.34 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

float up to 0.051549

1.71 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.073641

1.68 $ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

Galil AR | Firefight

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.073641

2.25 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.073641

2.80 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Re-Entry

Factory New

float up to 0.031665

7.27 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

XM1014 | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.055231

3.36 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 3 Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.23 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.05 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 3 Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3377595 · The CS20 Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 0.06$ · invest 1.97$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New); XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080221 instead of 0.079899
Craft 3388353 · The Fever Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 0.05$ · invest 2.15$
Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New); Nova | Rising Sun: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.079899

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma 3 Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build