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Crafts · The Chroma 3 Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

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The Chroma 3 Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +64.94$

Invest 194.73$

Average return 259.67$

ROI +33.4%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 466.33 $, profit at most −206.66 $

float premium: at least 253 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −195 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

111.70 $

at 15.96

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 16.81 $ +0.85 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.1500–0.1677
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) — 21.51 $ +5.55 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0579

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

43.02 $

at 21.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Factory New) — 37.55 $ +16.04 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0059
StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear) — 85.72 $ +64.21 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.1000–0.1053

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1650

40.02 $

at 40.02

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) — 40.92 $ +0.91 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1500–0.1682
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) — 66.08 $ +26.06 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.1179

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 194.73 $ +64.94 (+33.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −350 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

107.54 $

at 21.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Factory New) — 37.55 $ +16.04 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0072
StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear) — 85.72 $ +64.21 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.1000–0.1065

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1682

120.05 $

at 40.02

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) — 40.92 $ +0.91 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1500–0.1711
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) — 66.08 $ +26.06 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.1201

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

122.04 $

at 61.02

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) — 82.25 $ +21.23 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0885
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New) — 165.67 $ +104.65 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0000–0.0545

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 349.63 $ +19.76 (+5.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −259 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

14.91 $

at 14.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear) — 15.96 $ +1.05 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0977
StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 16.81 $ +1.90 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.1500–0.1880

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

129.05 $

at 21.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Factory New) — 37.55 $ +16.04 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0060
StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear) — 85.72 $ +64.21 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.1000–0.1054

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

34.78 $

at 34.78

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Field-Tested) — 40.02 $ +5.23 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.1500–0.2313
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) — 40.92 $ +6.14 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1500–0.2277

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

80.03 $

at 40.02

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) — 40.92 $ +0.91 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1500–0.1683
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) — 66.08 $ +26.06 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.1180

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 258.78 $ +55.75 (+21.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −289 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

129.05 $

at 21.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Factory New) — 37.55 $ +16.04 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0058
StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear) — 85.72 $ +64.21 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.1000–0.1052

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

160.06 $

at 40.02

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) — 40.92 $ +0.91 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1500–0.1678
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) — 66.08 $ +26.06 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0700–0.1176

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 289.12 $ +52.84 (+18.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −225 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

47.87 $

at 15.96

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 16.81 $ +0.85 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.1500–0.1666
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) — 21.51 $ +5.55 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0570

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

107.54 $

at 21.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Factory New) — 37.55 $ +16.04 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0046
StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear) — 85.72 $ +64.21 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.1000–0.1041

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

69.57 $

at 34.78

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Field-Tested) — 40.02 $ +5.23 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.1500–0.2263
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) — 40.92 $ +6.14 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.1500–0.2232

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 224.98 $ +62.12 (+27.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

at a loss

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis

Factory New

float up to 0.035353

139.91 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

394.25 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Neo-Noir

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.070706

96.56 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.056565

1 068.46 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 3 Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +39.61 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +59.80 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 3 Collection and The Operation Broken Fang Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3380769 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 71.65$ · invest 199.27$
profit on prices without salesat least −140 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074042 instead of 0.075243; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New): float at most 0.003537 instead of 0.004588
Craft 3380842 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 70.18$ · invest 194.73$
profit on prices without salesat least −195 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Neo-Noir: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074664 instead of 0.075243; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New): float at most 0.004081 instead of 0.004588; StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163410 instead of 0.165076
Craft 3380873 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 66.71$ · invest 173.05$
profit on prices without salesat least −173 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074939 instead of 0.075243; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New): float at most 0.004321 instead of 0.004588

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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