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The Chroma 3 Collection + The Phoenix Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −142.61₴

Invest at least 288.05₴

Average return 145.44₴

ROI −49.5%

Chance of profit 2%

With float: invest at least 288.05 ₴, profit at most −142.61 ₴

float premium: at least 157 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +38.43 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 9 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×9

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4813

91.44 ₴

at 10.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 22.23 ₴ +12.07 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0700–0.1098
StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) — 25.61 ₴ +15.45 ₴ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0700–0.0813
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Minimal Wear) — 29.26 ₴ +19.10 ₴ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0704

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

22.02 ₴

at 22.02

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested) — 25.16 ₴ +3.14 ₴ per item · on the market 172 · buy 0.1500–0.3354
StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Field-Tested) — 30.84 ₴ +8.82 ₴ per item · on the market 70 · buy 0.1500–0.1834
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) — 38.57 ₴ +16.56 ₴ per item · on the market 263 · buy 0.1500–0.3446

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 113.46 ₴ +31.98 (+28.2%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 6 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4949

60.96 ₴

at 10.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Minimal Wear) — 21.79 ₴ +11.63 ₴ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0790
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 22.23 ₴ +12.07 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0700–0.1281
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Ventilators (Minimal Wear) — 23.76 ₴ +13.60 ₴ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0700–0.0711

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1687

100.63 ₴

at 25.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) — 38.57 ₴ +13.42 ₴ per item · on the market 263 · buy 0.1500–0.2018
StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear) — 51.49 ₴ +26.33 ₴ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0700–0.0763
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 67.41 ₴ +42.25 ₴ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0000–0.0678

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 161.59 ₴ +32.44 (+20.1%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 5 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4938

50.80 ₴

at 10.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Minimal Wear) — 21.79 ₴ +11.63 ₴ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0782
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 22.23 ₴ +12.07 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0700–0.1267
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Ventilators (Minimal Wear) — 23.76 ₴ +13.60 ₴ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.0700–0.0704

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

125.79 ₴

at 25.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) — 38.57 ₴ +13.42 ₴ per item · on the market 263 · buy 0.1500–0.2014
StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear) — 51.49 ₴ +26.33 ₴ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 67.41 ₴ +42.25 ₴ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0000–0.0676

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 176.59 ₴ +33.64 (+19.1%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 4 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4926

40.64 ₴

at 10.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Minimal Wear) — 21.79 ₴ +11.63 ₴ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0772
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 22.23 ₴ +12.07 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0700–0.1251
StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) — 25.61 ₴ +15.45 ₴ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0700–0.0926

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1678

150.94 ₴

at 25.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) — 38.57 ₴ +13.42 ₴ per item · on the market 263 · buy 0.1500–0.2010
StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear) — 51.49 ₴ +26.33 ₴ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0700–0.0757
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 67.41 ₴ +42.25 ₴ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0000–0.0673

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 191.58 ₴ +34.84 (+18.2%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4911

30.48 ₴

at 10.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Minimal Wear) — 21.79 ₴ +11.63 ₴ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0759
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 22.23 ₴ +12.07 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0700–0.1230
StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) — 25.61 ₴ +15.45 ₴ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0700–0.0911

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

176.10 ₴

at 25.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) — 38.57 ₴ +13.42 ₴ per item · on the market 263 · buy 0.1500–0.2004
StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear) — 51.49 ₴ +26.33 ₴ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0700–0.0753
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 67.41 ₴ +42.25 ₴ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0000–0.0669

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 206.58 ₴ +36.03 (+17.4%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 36%
About break-even 18%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Red Astor

Field-Tested

float up to 0.162790

71.55 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Firefight

Field-Tested

float up to 0.162790

78.91 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader

Field-Tested

float up to 0.162790

130.19 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Re-Entry

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

249.83 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Black Tie

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.122092

212.68 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

float up to 0.246511

275.21 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat

Field-Tested

float up to 0.162790

277.59 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

float up to 0.181395

249.85 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.061860

536.89 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 3 Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Gallery Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +9.05 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +28.19 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 3 Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3381314 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 33.97₴ · invest 114.13₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.478131 instead of 0.481342
Craft 3381315 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 31.30₴ · invest 114.13₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.482914 instead of 0.481342

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma 3 Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build