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Crafts · The Chroma 3 Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

₸≈

The Chroma 3 Collection + The Prisma Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +70 466.77₸

Invest 35 908.14₸

Average return 106 374.92₸

ROI +196.2%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 91 746.36 ₸, profit at most +14 628.50 ₸

float premium: at least 54 710 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −35 908 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1677

5 727.74 ₸

at 5 727.74

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Field-Tested) — 6 151.45 ₸ +423.71 ₸ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.1500–0.2178
StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 7 608.38 ₸ +1 880.64 ₸ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.1500–0.2960

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1677

30 180.40 ₸

at 3 353.38

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 5 599.29 ₸ +2 245.91 ₸ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2798
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 9 930.45 ₸ +6 577.07 ₸ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.1016

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 35 908.14 ₸ +70 466.77 (+196.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −39 130 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

12 302.90 ₸

at 6 151.45

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear) — 6 748.71 ₸ +597.26 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.1263
StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 7 608.38 ₸ +1 456.93 ₸ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.1500–0.2477

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

26 827.02 ₸

at 3 353.38

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 5 599.29 ₸ +2 245.91 ₸ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2760
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 9 930.45 ₸ +6 577.07 ₸ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.0949

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 39 129.92 ₸ +67 107.43 (+171.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −59 675 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

13 497.42 ₸

at 6 748.71

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear) — 7 223.54 ₸ +474.83 ₸ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0970
StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 7 608.38 ₸ +859.67 ₸ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.1500–0.1873

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

36 117.69 ₸

at 7 223.54

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 7 608.38 ₸ +384.85 ₸ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.1500–0.1672
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) — 9 737.15 ₸ +2 513.61 ₸ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0575

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

10 060.13 ₸

at 3 353.38

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 5 599.29 ₸ +2 245.91 ₸ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2755
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 9 930.45 ₸ +6 577.07 ₸ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.0940

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 59 675.25 ₸ +45 874.53 (+76.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −50 510 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

33 743.55 ₸

at 6 748.71

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear) — 7 223.54 ₸ +474.83 ₸ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0966
StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 7 608.38 ₸ +859.67 ₸ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.1500–0.1870

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

16 766.89 ₸

at 3 353.38

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 5 599.29 ₸ +2 245.91 ₸ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2745
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 9 930.45 ₸ +6 577.07 ₸ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.0924

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 50 510.44 ₸ +55 314.40 (+109.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −64 020 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

6 748.71 ₸

at 6 748.71

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear) — 7 223.54 ₸ +474.83 ₸ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0966
StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 7 608.38 ₸ +859.67 ₸ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.1500–0.1870

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

50 564.77 ₸

at 7 223.54

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 7 608.38 ₸ +384.85 ₸ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.1500–0.1669
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) — 9 737.15 ₸ +2 513.61 ₸ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0573

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

6 706.76 ₸

at 3 353.38

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 5 599.29 ₸ +2 245.91 ₸ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2745
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 9 930.45 ₸ +6 577.07 ₸ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.0924

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 64 020.23 ₸ +41 392.03 (+64.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

worst

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Factory New

float up to 0.049494

39 475.91 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor

Factory New

float up to 0.056565

205 502.67 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis

Factory New

float up to 0.035353

63 337.04 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

178 478.53 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 3 Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 3 The Shadow Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 4 The Recoil Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 5 only The Prisma Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +61 728.71 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +67 579.17 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 3 Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 14 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3395970 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 76 613.05₸ · invest 42 178.76₸
profit on prices without salesat least −42 179 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161968 instead of 0.167723
Craft 3395971 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 75 235.48₸ · invest 45 927.34₸
profit on prices without salesat least −45 927 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166211 instead of 0.167723
Craft 3394396 · The Huntsman Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 73 534.07₸ · invest 50 349.15₸
profit on prices without salesat least −23 730 ₸ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173170 instead of 0.167723
Craft 3393889 · The Horizon Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 73 487.66₸ · invest 34 488.83₸
profit on prices without salesat least −34 489 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167782 instead of 0.167723
Craft 3387361 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 72 320.32₸ · invest 34 966.98₸
profit on prices without salesat least −34 967 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170031 instead of 0.167723
Craft 3398216 · The Prisma Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 71 492.66₸ · invest 35 427.52₸
profit on prices without salesat least −35 428 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170031 instead of 0.167723
Craft 3396468 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 71 298.31₸ · invest 38 482.50₸
profit on prices without salesat least −38 482 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170031 instead of 0.167723
Craft 3389852 · The Gallery Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 71 227.84₸ · invest 34 086.56₸
profit on prices without salesat least −34 087 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162399 instead of 0.167723
Craft 3379811 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 70 963.60₸ · invest 36 916.57₸
profit on prices without salesat least −36 917 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170031 instead of 0.167723
Craft 3398089 · The Prisma Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 70 551.96₸ · invest 34 205.39₸
profit on prices without salesat least −34 205 ₸ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167743 instead of 0.167723
Craft 3398136 · The Prisma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 70 355.06₸ · invest 38 196.86₸
profit on prices without salesat least −33 381 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165362 instead of 0.167723
Craft 3391887 · The Genesis Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 70 056.09₸ · invest 34 345.99₸
profit on prices without salesat least −34 346 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162402 instead of 0.167723
Craft 3390649 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 69 956.71₸ · invest 35 214.94₸
profit on prices without salesat least −30 687 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Airlock (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170031 instead of 0.167723
Craft 3397626 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 69 878.84₸ · invest 34 148.19₸
profit on prices without salesat least −34 148 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170031 instead of 0.167723

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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