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Crafts · The Chroma 3 Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

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The Chroma 3 Collection + The Prisma Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +155.66$

Invest 79.32$

Average return 234.98$

ROI +196.2%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 202.66 $, profit at most +32.31 $

float premium: at least 121 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −79 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1677

12.65 $

at 12.65

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Field-Tested) — 13.59 $ +0.94 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.1500–0.2178
StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 16.81 $ +4.15 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.1500–0.2960

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1677

66.67 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2798
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.1016

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 79.32 $ +155.66 (+196.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −86 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

27.18 $

at 13.59

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear) — 14.91 $ +1.32 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.1263
StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 16.81 $ +3.22 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.1500–0.2477

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

59.26 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2760
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.0949

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 86.44 $ +148.24 (+171.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −132 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

29.82 $

at 14.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear) — 15.96 $ +1.05 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0970
StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 16.81 $ +1.90 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.1500–0.1873

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

79.78 $

at 15.96

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 16.81 $ +0.85 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.1500–0.1672
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) — 21.51 $ +5.55 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0575

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

22.22 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2755
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.0940

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 131.82 $ +101.33 (+76.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −112 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

74.54 $

at 14.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear) — 15.96 $ +1.05 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0966
StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 16.81 $ +1.90 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.1500–0.1870

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

37.04 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2745
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.0924

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 111.58 $ +122.19 (+109.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −141 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

14.91 $

at 14.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear) — 15.96 $ +1.05 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0966
StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 16.81 $ +1.90 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.1500–0.1870

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

111.70 $

at 15.96

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 16.81 $ +0.85 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.1500–0.1669
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) — 21.51 $ +5.55 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0573

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

14.81 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2745
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.0924

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 141.42 $ +91.43 (+64.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

worst

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Factory New

float up to 0.049494

87.20 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor

Factory New

float up to 0.056565

453.95 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis

Factory New

float up to 0.035353

139.91 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

394.25 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 3 Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 3 The Shadow Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 4 The Recoil Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 5 only The Prisma Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +136.36 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +149.28 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 3 Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 14 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3395970 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 169.23$ · invest 93.17$
profit on prices without salesat least −93 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161968 instead of 0.167723
Craft 3395971 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 166.19$ · invest 101.45$
profit on prices without salesat least −101 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166211 instead of 0.167723
Craft 3394396 · The Huntsman Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 162.43$ · invest 111.22$
profit on prices without salesat least −52 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173170 instead of 0.167723
Craft 3393889 · The Horizon Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 162.33$ · invest 76.18$
profit on prices without salesat least −76 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167782 instead of 0.167723
Craft 3387361 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 159.75$ · invest 77.24$
profit on prices without salesat least −77 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170031 instead of 0.167723
Craft 3398216 · The Prisma Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 157.92$ · invest 78.26$
profit on prices without salesat least −78 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170031 instead of 0.167723
Craft 3396468 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 157.49$ · invest 85.01$
profit on prices without salesat least −85 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170031 instead of 0.167723
Craft 3389852 · The Gallery Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 157.34$ · invest 75.30$
profit on prices without salesat least −75 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162399 instead of 0.167723
Craft 3379811 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 156.76$ · invest 81.55$
profit on prices without salesat least −82 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170031 instead of 0.167723
Craft 3398089 · The Prisma Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 155.85$ · invest 75.56$
profit on prices without salesat least −76 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167743 instead of 0.167723
Craft 3398136 · The Prisma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 155.41$ · invest 84.38$
profit on prices without salesat least −74 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165362 instead of 0.167723
Craft 3391887 · The Genesis Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 154.75$ · invest 75.87$
profit on prices without salesat least −76 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162402 instead of 0.167723
Craft 3390649 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 154.53$ · invest 77.79$
profit on prices without salesat least −68 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Airlock (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170031 instead of 0.167723
Craft 3397626 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 154.36$ · invest 75.43$
profit on prices without salesat least −75 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170031 instead of 0.167723

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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