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Crafts · The Chroma 3 Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

$≈

The Chroma 3 Collection + The Revolver Case Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +91.78$

Invest 111.88$

Average return 203.66$

ROI +82.0%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 280.16 $, profit at most −76.50 $

float premium: at least 156 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −112 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

25.30 $

at 12.65

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Field-Tested) — 13.59 $ +0.94 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.1500–0.2139
StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 16.81 $ +4.15 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.1500–0.2925

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

86.58 $

at 10.82

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) — 69.27 $ +58.44 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0000–0.0348
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) — 111.21 $ +100.39 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0233

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 111.88 $ +91.78 (+82.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −110 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1775

12.65 $

at 12.65

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Field-Tested) — 13.59 $ +0.94 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.1500–0.2306
StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 16.81 $ +4.15 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.1500–0.3075

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1775

97.40 $

at 10.82

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) — 69.27 $ +58.44 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0000–0.0529
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) — 111.21 $ +100.39 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0354

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 110.05 $ +90.03 (+81.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −154 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

143.61 $

at 15.96

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 16.81 $ +0.85 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.1500–0.1673
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) — 21.51 $ +5.55 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0576

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

10.82 $

at 10.82

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) — 69.27 $ +58.44 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0000–0.0336
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) — 111.21 $ +100.39 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0225

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 154.43 $ +74.24 (+48.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −147 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

29.82 $

at 14.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear) — 15.96 $ +1.05 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0969
StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 16.81 $ +1.90 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.1500–0.1872

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

95.74 $

at 15.96

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 16.81 $ +0.85 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.1500–0.1671
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) — 21.51 $ +5.55 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0574

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

21.64 $

at 10.82

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) — 69.27 $ +58.44 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0000–0.0327
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) — 111.21 $ +100.39 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0219

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 147.20 $ +77.90 (+52.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −140 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

59.63 $

at 14.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear) — 15.96 $ +1.05 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0967
StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 16.81 $ +1.90 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.1500–0.1870

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

47.87 $

at 15.96

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 16.81 $ +0.85 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.1500–0.1670
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) — 21.51 $ +5.55 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0573

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

32.47 $

at 10.82

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Factory New) — 69.27 $ +58.44 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0000–0.0322
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New) — 111.21 $ +100.39 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0215

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 139.97 $ +81.56 (+58.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 40%

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Royal Paladin

Factory New

float up to 0.056565

325.52 $ 40.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

about break-even

worst

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.028282

126.46 $ 40.00%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis

Factory New

float up to 0.035353

139.91 $ 10.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

394.25 $ 10.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 3 Collection + The Revolver Case Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Revolver Case Collection Variant 4 The Recoil Collection instead of The Revolver Case Collection Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The Revolver Case Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +67.70 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +89.28 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 3 Collection and The Revolver Case Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3397731 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 82.23$ · invest 101.67$
profit on prices without salesat least −95 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Well-Worn), StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165165 instead of 0.164769
Craft 3387461 · The Falchion Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 76.80$ · invest 105.52$
profit on prices without salesat least −94 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Well-Worn), StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168479 instead of 0.164769
Craft 3382786 · The Clutch Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 73.01$ · invest 92.30$
profit on prices without salesat least −92 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested): 7 pcs instead of 8; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167438 instead of 0.164769
Craft 3397732 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 71.23$ · invest 101.67$
profit on prices without salesat least −86 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Well-Worn), StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168479 instead of 0.164769
Craft 3389151 · The Fracture Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 69.10$ · invest 93.82$
profit on prices without salesat least −94 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 8; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164362 instead of 0.164769

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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