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The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −181.20$

Invest at least 365.23$

Average return 184.04$

ROI −49.6%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 365.23 $, profit at most −181.20 $

float premium: at least 197 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +51.18 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −127 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

54.35 $

at 13.59

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear) — 14.91 $ +1.32 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.1267
StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 16.81 $ +3.22 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.1500–0.2481

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

44.72 $

at 14.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear) — 15.96 $ +1.05 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0975
StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 16.81 $ +1.90 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.1500–0.1877

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

60.01 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1755
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1170

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 159.08 $ +24.95 (+15.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −136 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1689

81.53 $

at 13.59

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear) — 14.91 $ +1.32 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.1301
StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 16.81 $ +3.22 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.1500–0.2520

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

44.72 $

at 14.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear) — 15.96 $ +1.05 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0994
StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 16.81 $ +1.90 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.1500–0.1895

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1689

20.00 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1795
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1201

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 146.25 $ +10.27 (+7.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −118 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

43.02 $

at 21.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Factory New) — 37.55 $ +16.04 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0068
StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear) — 85.72 $ +64.21 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.1000–0.1061

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

160.02 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1779
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1189

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 203.04 $ +49.78 (+24.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −116 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

59.63 $

at 14.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear) — 15.96 $ +1.05 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0981
StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 16.81 $ +1.90 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.1500–0.1883

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

120.01 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1768
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1181

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 179.64 $ +45.66 (+25.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −131 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

37.96 $

at 12.65

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Field-Tested) — 13.59 $ +0.94 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.1500–0.2146
StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 16.81 $ +4.15 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.1500–0.2931

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

74.54 $

at 14.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear) — 15.96 $ +1.05 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0977
StatTrak™ P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 16.81 $ +1.90 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.1500–0.1880

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

40.00 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1760
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1175

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 152.50 $ +17.78 (+11.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 35%
About break-even 35%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

139.91 $ 35.00%

price without deals price cut

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.148499

188.45 $ 35.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

244.69 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

400.08 $ 15.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1.42 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +21.04 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 3 Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3392670 · The Glove Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 20.32$ · invest 157.86$
profit on prices without salesat least −60 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163904 instead of 0.164648
Craft 3399965 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 19.49$ · invest 141.27$
profit on prices without salesat least −78 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164203 instead of 0.164648

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build