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Crafts · The Chroma 3 Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

₴≈

The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +81.29₴

Invest 130.45₴

Average return 211.75₴

ROI +62.3%

Chance of profit 82%

With float: invest at least 324.76 ₴, profit at most −113.01 ₴

float premium: at least 181 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 9 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×9

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4871

91.44 ₴

at 10.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Minimal Wear) — 21.79 ₴ +11.63 ₴ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0726
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 22.23 ₴ +12.07 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0700–0.1176
StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) — 25.61 ₴ +15.45 ₴ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0700–0.0871

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

39.01 ₴

at 39.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) — 40.96 ₴ +1.95 ₴ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.1500–0.1540
StatTrak™ Nova | Plume (Field-Tested) — 43.89 ₴ +4.87 ₴ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.1500–0.1540
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) — 60.85 ₴ +21.84 ₴ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0700–0.0866

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 130.45 ₴ +81.29 (+62.3%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 8 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×8

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4839

81.28 ₴

at 10.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 22.23 ₴ +12.07 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0700–0.1133
StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) — 25.61 ₴ +15.45 ₴ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0700–0.0839
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Minimal Wear) — 29.26 ₴ +19.10 ₴ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0727

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

78.03 ₴

at 39.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) — 40.96 ₴ +1.95 ₴ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.1500–0.1522
StatTrak™ Nova | Plume (Field-Tested) — 43.89 ₴ +4.87 ₴ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.1500–0.1522
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) — 60.85 ₴ +21.84 ₴ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0700–0.0856

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 159.31 ₴ +79.38 (+49.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −10 ₴

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 4 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4820

40.64 ₴

at 10.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 22.23 ₴ +12.07 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0700–0.1107
StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) — 25.61 ₴ +15.45 ₴ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0700–0.0820
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Minimal Wear) — 29.26 ₴ +19.10 ₴ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.0711

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Orange Crash

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

45.16 ₴

at 45.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Ventilators (Factory New) — 50.59 ₴ +5.43 ₴ per item · on the market 81 · buy 0.0000–0.0035
StatTrak™ M249 | Spectre (Factory New) — 50.64 ₴ +5.48 ₴ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0000–0.0039
StatTrak™ MP9 | Bioleak (Factory New) — 51.36 ₴ +6.21 ₴ per item · on the market 78 · buy 0.0000–0.0039

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

195.07 ₴

at 39.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) — 40.96 ₴ +1.95 ₴ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.1500–0.1512
StatTrak™ Nova | Plume (Field-Tested) — 43.89 ₴ +4.87 ₴ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.1500–0.1512
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) — 60.85 ₴ +21.84 ₴ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0700–0.0850

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 280.87 ₴ +38.65 (+13.8%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 7 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×7

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4802

71.12 ₴

at 10.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 22.23 ₴ +12.07 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0700–0.1083
StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) — 25.61 ₴ +15.45 ₴ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0700–0.0802
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) — 45.16 ₴ +35.00 ₴ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0695

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

117.04 ₴

at 39.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) — 40.96 ₴ +1.95 ₴ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.1500–0.1502
StatTrak™ Nova | Plume (Field-Tested) — 43.89 ₴ +4.87 ₴ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.1500–0.1502
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) — 60.85 ₴ +21.84 ₴ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0700–0.0844

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 188.16 ₴ +77.47 (+41.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −35 ₴

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 4 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4788

40.64 ₴

at 10.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Minimal Wear) — 22.23 ₴ +12.07 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0700–0.1064
StatTrak™ P2000 | Oceanic (Minimal Wear) — 25.61 ₴ +15.45 ₴ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0700–0.0788
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) — 45.16 ₴ +35.00 ₴ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0683

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

195.07 ₴

at 39.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) — 60.85 ₴ +21.84 ₴ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0700–0.0840
StatTrak™ Nova | Plume (Minimal Wear) — 84.85 ₴ +45.83 ₴ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.1494
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear) — 97.72 ₴ +58.70 ₴ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0700–0.1494

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

87.18 ₴

at 87.18

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Torn (Factory New) — 182.38 ₴ +95.19 ₴ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0000–0.0181
StatTrak™ Nova | Plume (Factory New) — 212.93 ₴ +125.74 ₴ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0322
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Acid Wash (Factory New) — 245.76 ₴ +158.57 ₴ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0274

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 322.90 ₴ +23.57 (+7.3%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 82%
Losing outcome 18%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Red Astor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

108.93 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Firefight

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

173.37 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

317.78 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Re-Entry

Factory New

float up to 0.064499

249.83 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Black Tie

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.112499

212.68 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Rat Rod

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

778.91 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

368.10 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Embargo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

486.71 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Obsidian

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

419.29 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Neon Ply

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

558.86 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 5 The Gallery Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +46.93 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +74.47 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 3 Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 10 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3380460 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 86.85₴ · invest 111.82₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.478936 instead of 0.487162
Craft 3380723 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 86.78₴ · invest 108.06₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.477934 instead of 0.487162
Craft 3380826 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 86.58₴ · invest 124.36₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.486237 instead of 0.487162
Craft 3380897 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 86.15₴ · invest 116.60₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.488925 instead of 0.487162
Craft 3381058 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 85.56₴ · invest 109.15₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.478415 instead of 0.487162
Craft 3380955 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 83.49₴ · invest 109.20₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Verdigris (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.484346 instead of 0.487162
Craft 3381157 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 83.11₴ · invest 109.20₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.484346 instead of 0.487162
Craft 3380724 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 82.47₴ · invest 108.06₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.484346 instead of 0.487162
Craft 3380622 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 78.93₴ · invest 105.55₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Harvester (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.488915 instead of 0.487162
Craft 3380461 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 78.71₴ · invest 111.82₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.482429 instead of 0.487162

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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