to all crafts

The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +152.30₸

Invest 627.86₸

Average return 780.15₸

ROI +24.2%

Chance of profit 92%

With float: invest at least 1 575.26 ₸, profit at most −795.11 ₸

float premium: at least 870 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×1

Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

161.69 ₸

at 161.69

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 212.98 ₸ +51.29 ₸ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0000–0.0205
SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New) — 312.35 ₸ +150.66 ₸ per item · on the market 315 · buy 0.0200–0.0414
Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 322.81 ₸ +161.13 ₸ per item · on the market 80 · buy 0.0000–0.0247

Steam

×9

M4A4 | Zubastick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

466.17 ₸

at 51.80

if this one runs out, you can take

M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 54.44 ₸ +2.64 ₸ per item · on the market 939 · buy 0.1500–0.1636
Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested) — 54.44 ₸ +2.64 ₸ per item · on the market 828 · buy 0.1500–0.1636
UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 54.44 ₸ +2.64 ₸ per item · on the market 935 · buy 0.1500–0.1636

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 627.86 ₸ +152.30 (+24.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

MP9 | Modest Threat

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

290.42 ₸

at 145.21

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Minimal Wear) — 150.89 ₸ +5.68 ₸ per item · on the market 609 · buy 0.0700–0.0892
SG 553 | Danger Close (Minimal Wear) — 151.56 ₸ +6.36 ₸ per item · on the market 324 · buy 0.0700–0.0973
Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) — 161.69 ₸ +16.48 ₸ per item · on the market 680 · buy 0.1500–0.2253

Steam

×8

M4A4 | Zubastick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

414.37 ₸

at 51.80

if this one runs out, you can take

M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 54.44 ₸ +2.64 ₸ per item · on the market 939 · buy 0.1500–0.1626
Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested) — 54.44 ₸ +2.64 ₸ per item · on the market 828 · buy 0.1500–0.1626
UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 54.44 ₸ +2.64 ₸ per item · on the market 935 · buy 0.1500–0.1626

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 704.79 ₸ +41.84 (+5.9%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 92%
Losing outcome 8%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

984.19 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

867.10 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Electrum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 152.57 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Amberline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

868.67 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

805.96 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Scavenger

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097499

398.46 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Signal

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

492.54 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134999

575.05 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Nevermore

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

905.45 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

USP-S | Flashback

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

379.45 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +65.63 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +129.24 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3376656 · The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 144.53₸ · invest 703.05₸
UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); M4A4 | Zubastick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165367 instead of 0.163615
Craft 3384667 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 143.46₸ · invest 693.49₸
rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); M4A4 | Zubastick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165610 instead of 0.163615
Craft 3385212 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 143.02₸ · invest 645.29₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); M4A4 | Zubastick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165610 instead of 0.163615

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build