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Crafts · The Danger Zone Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

₸≈

The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −582.58₸

Invest at least 1 150.66₸

Average return 568.07₸

ROI −50.6%

Chance of profit 2%

With float: invest at least 1 150.66 ₸, profit at most −582.58 ₸

float premium: at least 540 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

134.58 ₸

at 134.58

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 411.39 ₸ +276.81 ₸ per item · on the market 125 · buy 0.0000–0.0205
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 482.31 ₸ +347.73 ₸ per item · on the market 76 · buy 0.0000–0.0205
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 513.01 ₸ +378.43 ₸ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0247

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

326.98 ₸

at 36.33

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Field-Tested) — 45.16 ₸ +8.83 ₸ per item · on the market 893 · buy 0.1500–0.1636
StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested) — 46.85 ₸ +10.52 ₸ per item · on the market 1 006 · buy 0.1500–0.1636
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Field-Tested) — 49.72 ₸ +13.38 ₸ per item · on the market 882 · buy 0.1500–0.1636

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 461.56 ₸ +106.52 (+23.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −57 ₸

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

496.03 ₸

at 82.67

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested) — 109.33 ₸ +26.66 ₸ per item · on the market 414 · buy 0.1500–0.1639
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) — 134.58 ₸ +51.91 ₸ per item · on the market 344 · buy 0.1500–0.2986
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) — 143.75 ₸ +61.08 ₸ per item · on the market 786 · buy 0.1500–0.1568

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

269.16 ₸

at 134.58

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 411.39 ₸ +276.81 ₸ per item · on the market 125 · buy 0.0000–0.0227
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 482.31 ₸ +347.73 ₸ per item · on the market 76 · buy 0.0000–0.0227
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 513.01 ₸ +378.43 ₸ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0272

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

72.66 ₸

at 36.33

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Field-Tested) — 45.16 ₸ +8.83 ₸ per item · on the market 893 · buy 0.1500–0.1660
StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested) — 46.85 ₸ +10.52 ₸ per item · on the market 1 006 · buy 0.1500–0.1660
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Field-Tested) — 49.72 ₸ +13.38 ₸ per item · on the market 882 · buy 0.1500–0.1660

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 837.85 ₸ +40.55 (+4.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −71 ₸

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

578.70 ₸

at 82.67

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested) — 109.33 ₸ +26.66 ₸ per item · on the market 414 · buy 0.1500–0.1624
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) — 134.58 ₸ +51.91 ₸ per item · on the market 344 · buy 0.1500–0.2971
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) — 143.75 ₸ +61.08 ₸ per item · on the market 786 · buy 0.1500–0.1552

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

269.16 ₸

at 134.58

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 411.39 ₸ +276.81 ₸ per item · on the market 125 · buy 0.0000–0.0212
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 482.31 ₸ +347.73 ₸ per item · on the market 76 · buy 0.0000–0.0212
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 513.01 ₸ +378.43 ₸ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0255

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

36.33 ₸

at 36.33

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Field-Tested) — 45.16 ₸ +8.83 ₸ per item · on the market 893 · buy 0.1500–0.1644
StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested) — 46.85 ₸ +10.52 ₸ per item · on the market 1 006 · buy 0.1500–0.1644
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Field-Tested) — 49.72 ₸ +13.38 ₸ per item · on the market 882 · buy 0.1500–0.1644

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 884.19 ₸ +38.52 (+4.4%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

248.02 ₸

at 82.67

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested) — 109.33 ₸ +26.66 ₸ per item · on the market 414 · buy 0.1500–0.1620
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) — 134.58 ₸ +51.91 ₸ per item · on the market 344 · buy 0.1500–0.2965
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) — 143.75 ₸ +61.08 ₸ per item · on the market 786 · buy 0.1500–0.1547

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

134.58 ₸

at 134.58

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 411.39 ₸ +276.81 ₸ per item · on the market 125 · buy 0.0000–0.0207
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 482.31 ₸ +347.73 ₸ per item · on the market 76 · buy 0.0000–0.0207
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 513.01 ₸ +378.43 ₸ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0249

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

181.65 ₸

at 36.33

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Field-Tested) — 45.16 ₸ +8.83 ₸ per item · on the market 893 · buy 0.1500–0.1638
StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested) — 46.85 ₸ +10.52 ₸ per item · on the market 1 006 · buy 0.1500–0.1638
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Field-Tested) — 49.72 ₸ +13.38 ₸ per item · on the market 882 · buy 0.1500–0.1638

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

69.34 ₸

at 69.34

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Minimal Wear) — 74.29 ₸ +4.95 ₸ per item · on the market 913 · buy 0.0700–0.1068
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear) — 79.07 ₸ +9.73 ₸ per item · on the market 871 · buy 0.0700–0.1068
StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Minimal Wear) — 79.13 ₸ +9.79 ₸ per item · on the market 1 091 · buy 0.0700–0.1068

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 633.59 ₸ +67.49 (+10.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −15 ₸

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

413.36 ₸

at 82.67

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested) — 109.33 ₸ +26.66 ₸ per item · on the market 414 · buy 0.1500–0.1616
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) — 134.58 ₸ +51.91 ₸ per item · on the market 344 · buy 0.1500–0.2961
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) — 143.75 ₸ +61.08 ₸ per item · on the market 786 · buy 0.1500–0.1543

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

134.58 ₸

at 134.58

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 411.39 ₸ +276.81 ₸ per item · on the market 125 · buy 0.0000–0.0204
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 482.31 ₸ +347.73 ₸ per item · on the market 76 · buy 0.0000–0.0204
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 513.01 ₸ +378.43 ₸ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0245

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

108.99 ₸

at 36.33

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Field-Tested) — 45.16 ₸ +8.83 ₸ per item · on the market 893 · buy 0.1500–0.1634
StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested) — 46.85 ₸ +10.52 ₸ per item · on the market 1 006 · buy 0.1500–0.1634
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Field-Tested) — 49.72 ₸ +13.38 ₸ per item · on the market 882 · buy 0.1500–0.1634

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

74.29 ₸

at 74.29

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear) — 79.07 ₸ +4.78 ₸ per item · on the market 871 · buy 0.0700–0.0746
StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Minimal Wear) — 79.13 ₸ +4.84 ₸ per item · on the market 1 091 · buy 0.0700–0.0746
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Minimal Wear) — 100.89 ₸ +26.60 ₸ per item · on the market 521 · buy 0.0700–0.0746

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 731.22 ₸ +58.49 (+8.0%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 54%

at a loss

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.100499

388.05 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

438.67 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

880.93 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.113999

999.71 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

304.20 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097499

702.88 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

943.81 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134999

953.31 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ P250 | Nevermore

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

2 067.97 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

892.52 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 4 The Gallery Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +24.46 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +80.31 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3377520 · The CS20 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 113.54₸ · invest 406.22₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Field-Tested): float at most 0.176190 instead of 0.163615
Craft 3385641 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 111.06₸ · invest 467.52₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Harvester (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174999 instead of 0.163615

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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