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The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +64.08$

Invest 95.41$

Average return 159.49$

ROI +67.2%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 235.33 $, profit at most −75.84 $

float premium: at least 130 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +69.42 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

7.21 $

at 7.21

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) — 10.44 $ +3.23 $ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0000–0.0469
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 29.80 $ +22.60 $ per item · on the market 189 · buy 0.0000–0.0563

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

73.06 $

at 10.44

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 14.55 $ +4.12 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0000–0.0072
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 29.80 $ +19.37 $ per item · on the market 189 · buy 0.0000–0.0054

Steam

×2

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

15.14 $

at 7.57

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear) — 7.59 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 390 · buy 0.0700–0.0751
MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) — 7.69 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 306 · buy 0.0700–0.0751

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 95.41 $ +64.08 (+67.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×3

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

31.31 $

at 10.44

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 14.55 $ +4.12 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0000–0.0116
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 29.80 $ +19.37 $ per item · on the market 189 · buy 0.0000–0.0087

Steam

×3

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

22.72 $

at 7.57

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear) — 7.59 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 390 · buy 0.0700–0.0783
MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) — 7.69 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 306 · buy 0.0700–0.0783

Steam

×4

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

63.73 $

at 15.93

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Factory New) — 16.01 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.0000–0.0072
FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) — 16.01 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 165 · buy 0.0000–0.0072

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 117.75 $ +6.49 (+5.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×4

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

41.75 $

at 10.44

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 14.55 $ +4.12 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0000–0.0108
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 29.80 $ +19.37 $ per item · on the market 189 · buy 0.0000–0.0081

Steam

×3

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0777

22.72 $

at 7.57

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear) — 7.59 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 390 · buy 0.0700–0.0777
MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) — 7.69 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 306 · buy 0.0700–0.0777

Steam

×3

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

47.79 $

at 15.93

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Factory New) — 16.01 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.0000–0.0067
FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) — 16.01 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 165 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 112.26 $ +19.04 (+17.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×5

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

52.18 $

at 10.44

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 14.55 $ +4.12 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0000–0.0101
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 29.80 $ +19.37 $ per item · on the market 189 · buy 0.0000–0.0075

Steam

×3

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

22.72 $

at 7.57

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear) — 7.59 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 390 · buy 0.0700–0.0772
MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) — 7.69 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 306 · buy 0.0700–0.0772

Steam

×2

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

31.86 $

at 15.93

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Factory New) — 16.01 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.0000–0.0063
FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) — 16.01 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 165 · buy 0.0000–0.0063

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 106.76 $ +31.58 (+29.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×6

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

62.62 $

at 10.44

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 14.55 $ +4.12 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0000–0.0095
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 29.80 $ +19.37 $ per item · on the market 189 · buy 0.0000–0.0071

Steam

×3

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

22.72 $

at 7.57

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear) — 7.59 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 390 · buy 0.0700–0.0767
MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) — 7.69 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 306 · buy 0.0700–0.0767

Steam

×1

MP7 | Abyssal Apparition

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

15.93 $

at 15.93

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Factory New) — 16.01 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.0000–0.0059
FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) — 16.01 $ +0.08 $ per item · on the market 165 · buy 0.0000–0.0059

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 101.27 $ +44.12 (+43.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 40%
About break-even 10%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

341.96 $ 40.00%

rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.015384

57.29 $ 40.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Nightwish

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

124.97 $ 10.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Factory New

float up to 0.024615

112.14 $ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Graphic Design Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +34.96 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +54.14 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3384381 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 76.09$ · invest 103.60$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) instead of FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear)
Craft 3384180 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 72.05$ · invest 104.67$
sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear) instead of FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear); MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074111 instead of 0.075173; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.003597 instead of 0.004526
Craft 3383489 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 66.93$ · invest 95.11$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) instead of FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear)
Craft 3384128 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 66.72$ · invest 97.25$
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear); MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074953 instead of 0.075173; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): 6 pcs instead of 7; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004334 instead of 0.004526
Craft 3383972 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 66.25$ · invest 95.67$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear) instead of FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear)
Craft 3384246 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 65.89$ · invest 91.49$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) instead of FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear); MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074111 instead of 0.075173; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.003597 instead of 0.004526
Craft 3384053 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 61.81$ · invest 92.70$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear), P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear); MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074110 instead of 0.075173; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): 6 pcs instead of 7; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.003597 instead of 0.004526
Craft 3377478 · The CS20 Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 61.49$ · invest 95.88$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Nostalgia (Minimal Wear), AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear); MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075583 instead of 0.075173; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004885 instead of 0.004526

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build