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The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −6 185.86₽

Invest at least 17 506.20₽

Average return 11 320.33₽

ROI −35.3%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 17 506.20 ₽, profit at most −6 185.86 ₽

float premium: at least 9 624 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +4 850.68 ₽ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 000 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×2

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

1 680.22 ₽

at 840.11

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 1 171.44 ₽ +331.33 ₽ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0000–0.0062
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 2 398.94 ₽ +1 558.83 ₽ per item · on the market 189 · buy 0.0000–0.0047

Steam

×1

SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

388.75 ₽

at 388.75

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) — 411.65 ₽ +22.90 ₽ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.1500–0.1628
MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 2 158.21 ₽ +1 769.46 ₽ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0521

Steam

×7

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

5 079.69 ₽

at 725.67

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) — 753.65 ₽ +27.98 ₽ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0700–0.0744
MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 2 158.21 ₽ +1 432.54 ₽ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0238

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7 148.66 ₽ +4 171.67 (+58.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 152 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈3, цена занижена

×4

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

3 360.44 ₽

at 840.11

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 1 171.44 ₽ +331.33 ₽ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0000–0.0100
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 2 398.94 ₽ +1 558.83 ₽ per item · on the market 189 · buy 0.0000–0.0075

Steam

×2

SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1705

777.50 ₽

at 388.75

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) — 411.65 ₽ +22.90 ₽ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.1500–0.1705
MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 2 158.21 ₽ +1 769.46 ₽ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0545

Steam

×4

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

2 902.68 ₽

at 725.67

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) — 753.65 ₽ +27.98 ₽ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0700–0.0771
MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 2 158.21 ₽ +1 432.54 ₽ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0246

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7 040.62 ₽ +2 476.74 (+35.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 093 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×1

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

840.11 ₽

at 840.11

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 1 171.44 ₽ +331.33 ₽ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0000–0.0091
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 2 398.94 ₽ +1 558.83 ₽ per item · on the market 189 · buy 0.0000–0.0068

Steam

×9

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

6 531.03 ₽

at 725.67

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) — 753.65 ₽ +27.98 ₽ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 2 158.21 ₽ +1 432.54 ₽ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0244

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7 371.14 ₽ +4 850.68 (+65.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 060 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×5

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

4 200.55 ₽

at 840.11

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 1 171.44 ₽ +331.33 ₽ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0000–0.0079
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 2 398.94 ₽ +1 558.83 ₽ per item · on the market 189 · buy 0.0000–0.0059

Steam

×3

SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

1 166.25 ₽

at 388.75

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) — 411.65 ₽ +22.90 ₽ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.1500–0.1663
MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 2 158.21 ₽ +1 769.46 ₽ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0532

Steam

×2

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

1 451.34 ₽

at 725.67

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) — 753.65 ₽ +27.98 ₽ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0700–0.0756
MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 2 158.21 ₽ +1 432.54 ₽ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0242

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 818.14 ₽ +1 797.73 (+26.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 229 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

UMP-45 | Momentum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

487.00 ₽

at 487.00

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear) — 580.00 ₽ +93.00 ₽ per item · on the market 139 · buy 0.0700–0.1209
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) — 722.56 ₽ +235.56 ₽ per item · on the market 299 · buy 0.0700–0.0907

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

1 680.22 ₽

at 840.11

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 1 171.44 ₽ +331.33 ₽ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0000–0.0078
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 2 398.94 ₽ +1 558.83 ₽ per item · on the market 189 · buy 0.0000–0.0058

Steam

×7

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

5 079.69 ₽

at 725.67

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) — 753.65 ₽ +27.98 ₽ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0700–0.0755
MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 2 158.21 ₽ +1 432.54 ₽ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0241

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7 246.91 ₽ +3 171.93 (+43.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 20%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17 744.40 ₽ 40.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12 439.21 ₽ 40.00%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095499

4 837.50 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

4 611.88 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 6 The Graphic Design Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 367.66 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3 773.69 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3387457 · The Falchion Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 5 032.77₽ · invest 7 184.32₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 467 ₽ rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161999 instead of 0.162896; SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 7; SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074173 instead of 0.074485
Craft 3387044 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 5 000.53₽ · invest 8 192.80₽
profit on prices without salesat least −1 171 ₽ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162532 instead of 0.162896; SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074359 instead of 0.074485
Craft 3387526 · The Falchion Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 4 685.54₽ · invest 9 245.34₽
profit on prices without salesat least −4 919 ₽ rare inputs

SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New), SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074708 instead of 0.074485
Craft 3386995 · The Falchion Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 4 428.95₽ · invest 8 186.85₽
profit on prices without salesat least −2 661 ₽ rare inputs

P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear), P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New), SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): 8 pcs instead of 7; SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075075 instead of 0.074485
Craft 3386931 · The Falchion Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 4 258.80₽ · invest 7 343.99₽
profit on prices without salesat least −370 ₽ rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New), SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 7; SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.074485
Craft 3377587 · The CS20 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 4 011.79₽ · invest 6 840.10₽
profit on prices without salesat least −2 791 ₽ rare inputs

AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168648 instead of 0.162896; SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 7; SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076486 instead of 0.074485
Craft 3387334 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 3 927.42₽ · invest 7 657.07₽
profit on prices without salesat least −2 312 ₽ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Justice (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New), SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 7; SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.074485
Craft 3387546 · The Falchion Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 3 914.07₽ · invest 6 939.33₽
profit on prices without salesat least −2 471 ₽ rare inputs

XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | XOXO (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New), SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested); SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 7; SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074528 instead of 0.074485
Craft 3387403 · The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 3 852.79₽ · invest 6 538.98₽
profit on prices without salesat least −776 ₽ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear), P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163939 instead of 0.162896; SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 7; SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074848 instead of 0.074485

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build