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The Danger Zone Collection + The Fever Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −72.63$

Invest at least 234.66$

Average return 162.03$

ROI −30.9%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 234.66 $, profit at most −72.63 $

float premium: at least 131 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +70.85 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

7.21 $

at 7.21

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) — 10.44 $ +3.23 $ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0000–0.0469
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 29.80 $ +22.60 $ per item · on the market 189 · buy 0.0000–0.0563

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

73.06 $

at 10.44

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 14.55 $ +4.12 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0000–0.0072
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 29.80 $ +19.37 $ per item · on the market 189 · buy 0.0000–0.0054

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

14.84 $

at 7.42

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) — 7.91 $ +0.49 $ per item · on the market 427 · buy 0.0700–0.0751
Glock-18 | Shinobu (Minimal Wear) — 8.93 $ +1.51 $ per item · on the market 385 · buy 0.0700–0.0751

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 95.11 $ +66.93 (+70.4%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×2

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

20.87 $

at 10.44

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 14.55 $ +4.12 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0000–0.0125
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 29.80 $ +19.37 $ per item · on the market 189 · buy 0.0000–0.0094

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

22.26 $

at 7.42

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) — 7.91 $ +0.49 $ per item · on the market 427 · buy 0.0700–0.0789
Glock-18 | Shinobu (Minimal Wear) — 8.93 $ +1.51 $ per item · on the market 385 · buy 0.0700–0.0789

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

74.40 $

at 14.88

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Searing Rage (Factory New) — 18.57 $ +3.69 $ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.0000–0.0078
Glock-18 | Shinobu (Factory New) — 21.97 $ +7.09 $ per item · on the market 140 · buy 0.0000–0.0078

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 117.54 $ +9.83 (+8.4%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×3

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

31.31 $

at 10.44

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 14.55 $ +4.12 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0000–0.0116
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 29.80 $ +19.37 $ per item · on the market 189 · buy 0.0000–0.0087

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

22.26 $

at 7.42

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) — 7.91 $ +0.49 $ per item · on the market 427 · buy 0.0700–0.0783
Glock-18 | Shinobu (Minimal Wear) — 8.93 $ +1.51 $ per item · on the market 385 · buy 0.0700–0.0783

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

59.52 $

at 14.88

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Searing Rage (Factory New) — 18.57 $ +3.69 $ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.0000–0.0072
Glock-18 | Shinobu (Factory New) — 21.97 $ +7.09 $ per item · on the market 140 · buy 0.0000–0.0072

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 113.09 $ +20.05 (+17.7%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×4

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

41.75 $

at 10.44

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 14.55 $ +4.12 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0000–0.0108
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 29.80 $ +19.37 $ per item · on the market 189 · buy 0.0000–0.0081

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0777

22.26 $

at 7.42

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) — 7.91 $ +0.49 $ per item · on the market 427 · buy 0.0700–0.0777
Glock-18 | Shinobu (Minimal Wear) — 8.93 $ +1.51 $ per item · on the market 385 · buy 0.0700–0.0777

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

44.64 $

at 14.88

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Searing Rage (Factory New) — 18.57 $ +3.69 $ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.0000–0.0067
Glock-18 | Shinobu (Factory New) — 21.97 $ +7.09 $ per item · on the market 140 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 108.65 $ +30.27 (+27.9%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×5

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

52.18 $

at 10.44

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 14.55 $ +4.12 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0000–0.0101
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 29.80 $ +19.37 $ per item · on the market 189 · buy 0.0000–0.0075

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

22.26 $

at 7.42

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) — 7.91 $ +0.49 $ per item · on the market 427 · buy 0.0700–0.0772
Glock-18 | Shinobu (Minimal Wear) — 8.93 $ +1.51 $ per item · on the market 385 · buy 0.0700–0.0772

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

29.76 $

at 14.88

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Searing Rage (Factory New) — 18.57 $ +3.69 $ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.0000–0.0063
Glock-18 | Shinobu (Factory New) — 21.97 $ +7.09 $ per item · on the market 140 · buy 0.0000–0.0063

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 104.21 $ +40.49 (+38.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

341.96 $ 40.00%

rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.015384

57.29 $ 40.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

178.53 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

87.82 $ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Graphic Design Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +37.82 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +56.47 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3384381 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 76.09$ · invest 103.60$
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear)
Craft 3384180 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 72.05$ · invest 104.67$
sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear); MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074111 instead of 0.075173; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.003597 instead of 0.004526
Craft 3384128 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 66.72$ · invest 97.25$
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear); MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074953 instead of 0.075173; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): 6 pcs instead of 7; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004334 instead of 0.004526
Craft 3383972 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 66.25$ · invest 95.67$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear)
Craft 3384246 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 65.89$ · invest 91.49$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear); MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074111 instead of 0.075173; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.003597 instead of 0.004526
Craft 3383395 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 64.08$ · invest 95.41$
sells slowly rare inputs

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear)
Craft 3384053 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 61.81$ · invest 92.70$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear), P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear); MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074110 instead of 0.075173; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): 6 pcs instead of 7; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.003597 instead of 0.004526
Craft 3377478 · The CS20 Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 61.49$ · invest 95.88$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Nostalgia (Minimal Wear), AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear); MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075583 instead of 0.075173; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004885 instead of 0.004526

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build