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The Danger Zone Collection + The Fracture Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +5.87₽

Invest 168.40₽

Average return 174.27₽

ROI +3.5%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 397.98 ₽, profit at most −223.71 ₽

float premium: at least 204 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +13.07 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×2

Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1650

57.50 ₽

at 28.75

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 37.87 ₽ +9.12 ₽ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0000–0.0218
SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New) — 55.54 ₽ +26.79 ₽ per item · on the market 315 · buy 0.0200–0.0426
Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 57.40 ₽ +28.65 ₽ per item · on the market 80 · buy 0.0000–0.0261

Steam

×2

Negev | Ultralight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

24.86 ₽

at 12.43

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Minimal Wear) — 14.34 ₽ +1.91 ₽ per item · on the market 795 · buy 0.0700–0.0952
PP-Bizon | Runic (Minimal Wear) — 14.51 ₽ +2.08 ₽ per item · on the market 859 · buy 0.0700–0.0952
P90 | Freight (Minimal Wear) — 14.56 ₽ +2.13 ₽ per item · on the market 1 146 · buy 0.0700–0.0952

Steam

×6

SSG 08 | Mainframe 001

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

86.04 ₽

at 14.34

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Runic (Minimal Wear) — 14.51 ₽ +0.17 ₽ per item · on the market 859 · buy 0.0700–0.0752
P90 | Freight (Minimal Wear) — 14.56 ₽ +0.22 ₽ per item · on the market 1 146 · buy 0.0700–0.0752
P2000 | Gnarled (Minimal Wear) — 15.88 ₽ +1.54 ₽ per item · on the market 600 · buy 0.0700–0.0752

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 168.40 ₽ +5.87 (+3.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×1

Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

28.75 ₽

at 28.75

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 37.87 ₽ +9.12 ₽ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0000–0.0205
SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New) — 55.54 ₽ +26.79 ₽ per item · on the market 315 · buy 0.0200–0.0414
Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 57.40 ₽ +28.65 ₽ per item · on the market 80 · buy 0.0000–0.0246

Steam

×9

SSG 08 | Mainframe 001

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

129.06 ₽

at 14.34

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Runic (Minimal Wear) — 14.51 ₽ +0.17 ₽ per item · on the market 859 · buy 0.0700–0.0747
P90 | Freight (Minimal Wear) — 14.56 ₽ +0.22 ₽ per item · on the market 1 146 · buy 0.0700–0.0747
P2000 | Gnarled (Minimal Wear) — 15.88 ₽ +1.54 ₽ per item · on the market 600 · buy 0.0700–0.0747

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 157.81 ₽ +13.07 (+8.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×3

Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

86.25 ₽

at 28.75

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 37.87 ₽ +9.12 ₽ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0000–0.0199
SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New) — 55.54 ₽ +26.79 ₽ per item · on the market 315 · buy 0.0200–0.0407
Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 57.40 ₽ +28.65 ₽ per item · on the market 80 · buy 0.0000–0.0239

Steam

×5

Negev | Ultralight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

62.15 ₽

at 12.43

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Minimal Wear) — 14.34 ₽ +1.91 ₽ per item · on the market 795 · buy 0.0700–0.0942
PP-Bizon | Runic (Minimal Wear) — 14.51 ₽ +2.08 ₽ per item · on the market 859 · buy 0.0700–0.0942
P90 | Freight (Minimal Wear) — 14.56 ₽ +2.13 ₽ per item · on the market 1 146 · buy 0.0700–0.0942

Steam

×2

SSG 08 | Mainframe 001

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

28.68 ₽

at 14.34

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Runic (Minimal Wear) — 14.51 ₽ +0.17 ₽ per item · on the market 859 · buy 0.0700–0.0744
P90 | Freight (Minimal Wear) — 14.56 ₽ +0.22 ₽ per item · on the market 1 146 · buy 0.0700–0.0744
P2000 | Gnarled (Minimal Wear) — 15.88 ₽ +1.54 ₽ per item · on the market 600 · buy 0.0700–0.0744

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 177.08 ₽ +0.58 (+0.3%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 44%
Losing outcome 40%
About break-even 16%

at a loss

Galil AR | Connexion

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

165.87 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

about break-even

MAC-10 | Allure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

198.06 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Monster Call

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

244.76 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP5-SD | Kitbash

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

124.80 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Brother

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

229.60 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Scavenger

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

237.95 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Signal

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

177.61 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

374.38 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Nevermore

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

161.00 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Flashback

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

206.92 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −29.30 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −10.07 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build