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The Danger Zone Collection + The Gallery Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −163.76$

Invest at least 319.78$

Average return 156.02$

ROI −51.2%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 319.78 $, profit at most −163.76 $

float premium: at least 178 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +23.69 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −102 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

82.59 $

at 16.52

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 31.29 $ +14.78 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 32.54 $ +16.03 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0075

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

17.84 $

at 8.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) — 11.26 $ +2.34 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.1500–0.2069
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Field-Tested) — 17.97 $ +9.05 $ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.1500–0.1862

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

33.79 $

at 11.26

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) — 20.50 $ +9.24 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0700–0.1324
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Minimal Wear) — 31.82 $ +20.56 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy 0.0700–0.1490

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 134.22 $ +21.80 (+16.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −174 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

16.52 $

at 16.52

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 31.29 $ +14.78 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 32.54 $ +16.03 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0075

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1654

33.79 $

at 11.26

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) — 20.50 $ +9.24 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0700–0.1323
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Minimal Wear) — 31.82 $ +20.56 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy 0.0700–0.1489

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

130.46 $

at 21.74

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) — 36.01 $ +14.27 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0603
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Factory New) — 94.97 $ +73.23 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0678

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 180.77 $ +17.49 (+9.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −117 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

66.07 $

at 16.52

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 31.29 $ +14.78 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 32.54 $ +16.03 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0074

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

56.32 $

at 11.26

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) — 20.50 $ +9.24 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0700–0.1322
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Minimal Wear) — 31.82 $ +20.56 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy 0.0700–0.1488

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

20.50 $

at 20.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) — 21.74 $ +1.24 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0700–0.0941
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Minimal Wear) — 31.82 $ +11.32 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy 0.0700–0.0847

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 142.89 $ +23.69 (+16.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −86 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

22.09 $

at 11.05

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear) — 17.39 $ +6.34 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0700–0.1198
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) — 19.88 $ +8.83 $ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0700–0.0899

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

82.59 $

at 16.52

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 31.29 $ +14.78 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0051
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 32.54 $ +16.03 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0068

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

26.76 $

at 8.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) — 11.26 $ +2.34 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.1500–0.2051
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Field-Tested) — 17.97 $ +9.05 $ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.1500–0.1846

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 131.43 $ +3.47 (+2.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −137 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

49.55 $

at 16.52

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 31.29 $ +14.78 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0049
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 32.54 $ +16.03 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0065

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

45.05 $

at 11.26

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) — 20.50 $ +9.24 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0700–0.1307
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Minimal Wear) — 31.82 $ +20.56 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy 0.0700–0.1470

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

61.51 $

at 20.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) — 21.74 $ +1.24 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0700–0.0933
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Minimal Wear) — 31.82 $ +11.32 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy 0.0700–0.0840

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 156.11 $ +21.02 (+13.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 25%
About break-even 25%

about break-even

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.112286

148.14 $ 25.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.047912

89.27 $ 25.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

175.97 $ 25.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Vaporwave

Factory New

float up to 0.057238

304.31 $ 25.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Gallery Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Gallery Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Gallery Collection Variant 5 The Fever Collection instead of The Gallery Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Gallery Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −4.65 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +15.86 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Gallery Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Gallery Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build