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Crafts · The Danger Zone Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

$≈

The Danger Zone Collection + The Glove Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +113.55$

Invest 159.19$

Average return 272.75$

ROI +71.3%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 400.67 $, profit at most −127.93 $

float premium: at least 232 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −150 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

11.05 $

at 11.05

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear) — 17.39 $ +6.34 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0700–0.1188
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) — 19.88 $ +8.83 $ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0700–0.0891

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

132.14 $

at 16.52

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 31.29 $ +14.78 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0045
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 32.54 $ +16.03 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0060

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

16.01 $

at 16.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New) — 25.29 $ +9.28 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0000–0.0693
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 45.38 $ +29.37 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0495

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 159.19 $ +113.55 (+71.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −141 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

49.55 $

at 16.52

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 31.29 $ +14.78 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0089
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 32.54 $ +16.03 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0119

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0785

32.02 $

at 16.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Minimal Wear) — 17.67 $ +1.66 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0700–0.0733
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 45.38 $ +29.37 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0523

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

126.47 $

at 25.29

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Factory New) — 30.68 $ +5.38 $ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0000–0.0080
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 45.38 $ +20.09 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0053

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 208.04 $ +1.40 (+0.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −142 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

66.07 $

at 16.52

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 31.29 $ +14.78 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0086
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 32.54 $ +16.03 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0115

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0782

32.02 $

at 16.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Minimal Wear) — 17.67 $ +1.66 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0700–0.0730
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 45.38 $ +29.37 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0521

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

101.17 $

at 25.29

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Factory New) — 30.68 $ +5.38 $ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0000–0.0077
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 45.38 $ +20.09 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0051

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 199.26 $ +20.73 (+10.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −143 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0069

82.59 $

at 16.52

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 31.29 $ +14.78 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0083
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 32.54 $ +16.03 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0111

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

32.02 $

at 16.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Minimal Wear) — 17.67 $ +1.66 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0700–0.0727
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 45.38 $ +29.37 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0519

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0069

75.88 $

at 25.29

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Factory New) — 30.68 $ +5.38 $ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0000–0.0074
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 45.38 $ +20.09 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0049

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 190.49 $ +40.06 (+21.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −143 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

99.10 $

at 16.52

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 31.29 $ +14.78 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0081
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 32.54 $ +16.03 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0108

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0777

32.02 $

at 16.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Minimal Wear) — 17.67 $ +1.66 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0700–0.0725
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 45.38 $ +29.37 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0518

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

50.59 $

at 25.29

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Factory New) — 30.68 $ +5.38 $ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0000–0.0072
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 45.38 $ +20.09 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0048

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 181.71 $ +59.38 (+32.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 5%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

562.31 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.015384

89.27 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Buzz Kill

Factory New

float up to 0.021538

188.87 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

float up to 0.015384

220.04 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Glove Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Glove Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Glove Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +97.30 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +111.50 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Glove Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3379128 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 123.45$ · invest 158.07$
profit on prices without salesat least −158 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075368 instead of 0.074289; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004697 instead of 0.003753
Craft 3383454 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 121.39$ · invest 158.82$
profit on prices without salesat least −159 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075746 instead of 0.074289; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.005028 instead of 0.003753
Craft 3384283 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 120.35$ · invest 159.04$
profit on prices without salesat least −159 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075746 instead of 0.074289; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.005028 instead of 0.003753
Craft 3380368 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 120.10$ · invest 158.09$
profit on prices without salesat least −158 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074438 instead of 0.074289; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.003883 instead of 0.003753
Craft 3383599 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 117.47$ · invest 158.06$
profit on prices without salesat least −148 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074648 instead of 0.074289; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004067 instead of 0.003753

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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