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The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −35 798.93₸

Invest at least 115 801.06₸

Average return 80 002.14₸

ROI −30.9%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 115 801.06 ₸, profit at most −35 798.93 ₸

float premium: at least 63 391 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +33 484.96 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

3 261.88 ₸

at 3 261.88

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) — 4 724.72 ₸ +1 462.84 ₸ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0000–0.0463
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 13 491.46 ₸ +10 229.58 ₸ per item · on the market 189 · buy 0.0000–0.0555

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

33 073.01 ₸

at 4 724.72

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 6 588.09 ₸ +1 863.38 ₸ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0000–0.0057
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 13 491.46 ₸ +8 766.74 ₸ per item · on the market 189 · buy 0.0000–0.0043

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

11 049.44 ₸

at 5 524.72

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 13 871.69 ₸ +8 346.97 ₸ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0527
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 15 631.53 ₸ +10 106.81 ₸ per item · on the market 206 · buy 0.0700–0.0899

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 47 384.33 ₸ +32 617.81 (+68.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈3, цена занижена

×9

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0065

42 522.44 ₸

at 4 724.72

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 6 588.09 ₸ +1 863.38 ₸ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0000–0.0104
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 13 491.46 ₸ +8 766.74 ₸ per item · on the market 189 · buy 0.0000–0.0078

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1714

3 285.67 ₸

at 3 285.67

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 7 918.82 ₸ +4 633.16 ₸ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0700–0.1218
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 8 643.24 ₸ +5 357.58 ₸ per item · on the market 634 · buy 0.1500–0.1818

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 45 808.11 ₸ +33 484.96 (+73.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −45 655 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×4

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

18 898.86 ₸

at 4 724.72

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 6 588.09 ₸ +1 863.38 ₸ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0000–0.0072
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 13 491.46 ₸ +8 766.74 ₸ per item · on the market 189 · buy 0.0000–0.0054

Steam

×3

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

16 574.16 ₸

at 5 524.72

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 13 871.69 ₸ +8 346.97 ₸ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0534
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 15 631.53 ₸ +10 106.81 ₸ per item · on the market 206 · buy 0.0700–0.0909

Steam

×3

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

41 615.08 ₸

at 13 871.69

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New) — 20 968.52 ₸ +7 096.83 ₸ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0063
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New) — 63 395.92 ₸ +49 524.23 ₸ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0200–0.0259

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 77 088.10 ₸ +5 750.52 (+7.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −28 649 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×5

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

23 623.58 ₸

at 4 724.72

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 6 588.09 ₸ +1 863.38 ₸ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0000–0.0070
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 13 491.46 ₸ +8 766.74 ₸ per item · on the market 189 · buy 0.0000–0.0052

Steam

×3

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

16 574.16 ₸

at 5 524.72

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 13 871.69 ₸ +8 346.97 ₸ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0533
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 15 631.53 ₸ +10 106.81 ₸ per item · on the market 206 · buy 0.0700–0.0908

Steam

×2

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

27 743.39 ₸

at 13 871.69

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New) — 20 968.52 ₸ +7 096.83 ₸ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0061
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New) — 63 395.92 ₸ +49 524.23 ₸ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0200–0.0258

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 67 941.12 ₸ +14 188.38 (+20.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −11 644 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×6

UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

28 348.30 ₸

at 4 724.72

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 6 588.09 ₸ +1 863.38 ₸ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0000–0.0068
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 13 491.46 ₸ +8 766.74 ₸ per item · on the market 189 · buy 0.0000–0.0051

Steam

×3

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

16 574.16 ₸

at 5 524.72

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 13 871.69 ₸ +8 346.97 ₸ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0532
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 15 631.53 ₸ +10 106.81 ₸ per item · on the market 206 · buy 0.0700–0.0907

Steam

×1

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

13 871.69 ₸

at 13 871.69

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New) — 20 968.52 ₸ +7 096.83 ₸ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0060
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New) — 63 395.92 ₸ +49 524.23 ₸ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0200–0.0256

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 58 794.15 ₸ +22 626.23 (+38.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 40%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

154 806.19 ₸ 40.00%

rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.015384

25 936.87 ₸ 40.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

102 004.17 ₸ 10.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

95 048.44 ₸ 10.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Graphic Design Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +17 229.57 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +27 200.73 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3384381 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 34 446.16₸ · invest 46 898.19₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075173 instead of 0.074111; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004526 instead of 0.003597
Craft 3383489 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 30 298.04₸ · invest 43 054.35₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075173 instead of 0.074111; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004526 instead of 0.003597
Craft 3384128 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 30 204.27₸ · invest 44 026.11₸
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074953 instead of 0.074111; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): 6 pcs instead of 7; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004334 instead of 0.003597
Craft 3383972 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 29 992.39₸ · invest 43 308.56₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075173 instead of 0.074111; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004526 instead of 0.003597
Craft 3384246 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 29 828.14₸ · invest 41 417.00₸
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear)
Craft 3383395 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 29 010.96₸ · invest 43 190.45₸
sells slowly rare inputs

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075173 instead of 0.074111; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004526 instead of 0.003597
Craft 3384053 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 27 983.59₸ · invest 41 963.48₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear), P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 1; MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074110 instead of 0.074111; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): 6 pcs instead of 7; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.003597 instead of 0.003597
Craft 3377478 · The CS20 Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 27 835.95₸ · invest 43 404.95₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Nostalgia (Minimal Wear), AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear); MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075583 instead of 0.074111; UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004885 instead of 0.003597

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build