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The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −198.54$

Invest at least 385.98$

Average return 187.43$

ROI −51.4%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 385.98 $, profit at most −198.54 $

float premium: at least 219 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +67.76 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −110 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

22.09 $

at 11.05

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear) — 17.39 $ +6.34 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0700–0.1186
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) — 19.88 $ +8.83 $ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0700–0.0889

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

99.10 $

at 16.52

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 31.29 $ +14.78 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0043
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 32.54 $ +16.03 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0058

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

40.00 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1729
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1151

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 161.20 $ +26.23 (+16.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −284 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0080

66.07 $

at 16.52

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 31.29 $ +14.78 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0096
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 32.54 $ +16.03 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0128

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1763

20.00 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1865
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1254

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0791

223.87 $

at 44.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 60.03 $ +15.25 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.0947
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 86.27 $ +41.49 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0562

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 309.94 $ +45.91 (+14.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −131 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0080

115.62 $

at 16.52

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 31.29 $ +14.78 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0096
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 32.54 $ +16.03 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0128

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1763

60.01 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1865
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1253

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 175.63 $ +53.91 (+30.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −225 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

82.59 $

at 16.52

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 31.29 $ +14.78 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0075
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 32.54 $ +16.03 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0101

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1707

40.00 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1812
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1214

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

134.32 $

at 44.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 60.03 $ +15.25 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.0929
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 86.27 $ +41.49 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0549

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 256.91 $ +56.83 (+22.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −455 $

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

16.52 $

at 16.52

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 31.29 $ +14.78 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0068
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 32.54 $ +16.03 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0090

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

358.20 $

at 44.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 60.03 $ +15.25 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.0922
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 86.27 $ +41.49 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0543

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

86.27 $

at 86.27

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New) — 106.30 $ +20.04 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0079
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New) — 199.91 $ +113.64 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0200–0.0275

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 460.98 $ +21.18 (+4.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 80%

at a loss

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.095499

148.14 $ 40.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

89.27 $ 40.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

440.02 $ 10.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

765.81 $ 10.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 6 The Fever Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +7.73 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +21.82 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build