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Crafts · The Danger Zone Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

₸≈

The Danger Zone Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +54 483.74₸

Invest 71 999.07₸

Average return 126 482.81₸

ROI +75.7%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 181 239.88 ₸, profit at most −54 757.07 ₸

float premium: at least 105 271 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −71 999 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

5 000.18 ₸

at 5 000.18

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear) — 7 870.63 ₸ +2 870.45 ₸ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0700–0.1211
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) — 8 998.28 ₸ +3 998.10 ₸ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0700–0.0908

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

59 818.32 ₸

at 7 477.29

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 14 166.67 ₸ +6 689.38 ₸ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0060
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 14 732.72 ₸ +7 255.43 ₸ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0080

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

7 180.57 ₸

at 7 180.57

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) — 9 112.33 ₸ +1 931.76 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0807
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) — 16 980.21 ₸ +9 799.63 ₸ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0530

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 71 999.07 ₸ +54 483.74 (+75.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −73 883 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

52 341.03 ₸

at 7 477.29

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 14 166.67 ₸ +6 689.38 ₸ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0067
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 14 732.72 ₸ +7 255.43 ₸ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0089

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

21 541.71 ₸

at 7 180.57

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) — 9 112.33 ₸ +1 931.76 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0811
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) — 16 980.21 ₸ +9 799.63 ₸ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0534

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 73 882.74 ₸ +49 068.35 (+66.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −72 246 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

59 818.32 ₸

at 7 477.29

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 14 166.67 ₸ +6 689.38 ₸ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0051
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 14 732.72 ₸ +7 255.43 ₸ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0068

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

5 247.12 ₸

at 5 247.12

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) — 9 112.33 ₸ +3 865.21 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.1399
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) — 10 138.64 ₸ +4 891.52 ₸ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1148

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

7 180.57 ₸

at 7 180.57

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) — 9 112.33 ₸ +1 931.76 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0801
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) — 16 980.21 ₸ +9 799.63 ₸ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0524

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 72 246.01 ₸ +52 470.94 (+72.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −109 822 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

22 431.87 ₸

at 7 477.29

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 14 166.67 ₸ +6 689.38 ₸ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0048
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 14 732.72 ₸ +7 255.43 ₸ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0064

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

36 449.33 ₸

at 9 112.33

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) — 16 980.21 ₸ +7 867.87 ₸ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0465
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New) — 20 958.34 ₸ +11 846.01 ₸ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0665

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

50 940.62 ₸

at 16 980.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New) — 20 958.34 ₸ +3 978.14 ₸ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0057
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Factory New) — 22 780.83 ₸ +5 800.63 ₸ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0300–0.0338

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 109 821.82 ₸ +6 065.80 (+5.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −100 319 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

29 909.16 ₸

at 7 477.29

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 14 166.67 ₸ +6 689.38 ₸ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0046
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 14 732.72 ₸ +7 255.43 ₸ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0062

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

36 449.33 ₸

at 9 112.33

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) — 16 980.21 ₸ +7 867.87 ₸ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0464
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New) — 20 958.34 ₸ +11 846.01 ₸ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0663

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

33 960.41 ₸

at 16 980.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New) — 20 958.34 ₸ +3 978.14 ₸ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0055
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Factory New) — 22 780.83 ₸ +5 800.63 ₸ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0300–0.0337

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 100 318.90 ₸ +17 334.57 (+17.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

254 560.01 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.015384

40 411.95 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

175 772.47 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later

Factory New

float up to 0.021538

78 584.57 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 5 The Fever Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +47 038.17 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +53 315.32 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Spectrum 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3379128 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 55 885.77₸ · invest 71 557.03₸
profit on prices without salesat least −71 557 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075368 instead of 0.075746; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004697 instead of 0.005028
Craft 3383454 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 54 953.67₸ · invest 71 896.26₸
profit on prices without salesat least −71 896 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear)
Craft 3380368 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 54 370.32₸ · invest 71 567.21₸
profit on prices without salesat least −71 567 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074438 instead of 0.075746; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.003883 instead of 0.005028
Craft 3383599 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 53 179.61₸ · invest 71 554.66₸
profit on prices without salesat least −67 027 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074648 instead of 0.075746; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004067 instead of 0.005028
Craft 3383699 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 51 405.70₸ · invest 72 066.72₸
profit on prices without salesat least −67 736 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074289 instead of 0.075746; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.003753 instead of 0.005028

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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