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The Danger Zone Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −120.96$

Invest at least 400.35$

Average return 279.39$

ROI −30.2%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 400.35 $, profit at most −120.96 $

float premium: at least 233 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −159 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

11.05 $

at 11.05

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear) — 17.39 $ +6.34 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0700–0.1211
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) — 19.88 $ +8.83 $ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.0700–0.0908

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

132.14 $

at 16.52

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 31.29 $ +14.78 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0060
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 32.54 $ +16.03 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0080

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

15.86 $

at 15.86

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) — 20.13 $ +4.27 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0807
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) — 37.51 $ +21.65 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0530

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 159.04 $ +120.35 (+75.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −163 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

115.62 $

at 16.52

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 31.29 $ +14.78 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0067
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 32.54 $ +16.03 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0089

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

47.58 $

at 15.86

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) — 20.13 $ +4.27 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0811
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) — 37.51 $ +21.65 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0534

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 163.20 $ +108.39 (+66.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −160 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

132.14 $

at 16.52

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 31.29 $ +14.78 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0051
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 32.54 $ +16.03 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0068

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

11.59 $

at 11.59

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) — 20.13 $ +8.54 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.1399
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) — 22.40 $ +10.81 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1148

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

15.86 $

at 15.86

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) — 20.13 $ +4.27 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0801
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) — 37.51 $ +21.65 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0524

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 159.59 $ +115.91 (+72.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −243 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

49.55 $

at 16.52

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 31.29 $ +14.78 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0048
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 32.54 $ +16.03 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0064

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

80.51 $

at 20.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) — 37.51 $ +17.38 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0465
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New) — 46.30 $ +26.17 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0665

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

112.53 $

at 37.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New) — 46.30 $ +8.79 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0057
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Factory New) — 50.32 $ +12.81 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0300–0.0338

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 242.59 $ +13.40 (+5.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −222 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

66.07 $

at 16.52

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 31.29 $ +14.78 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0046
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) — 32.54 $ +16.03 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0062

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

80.51 $

at 20.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) — 37.51 $ +17.38 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.0000–0.0464
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New) — 46.30 $ +26.17 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0663

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

75.02 $

at 37.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New) — 46.30 $ +8.79 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0055
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Factory New) — 50.32 $ +12.81 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0300–0.0337

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 221.60 $ +38.29 (+17.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

562.31 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.015384

89.27 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress

Factory New

float up to 0.030769

388.27 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P250 | See Ya Later

Factory New

float up to 0.021538

173.59 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 5 The Fever Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +103.91 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +117.77 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Spectrum 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3379128 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 123.45$ · invest 158.07$
profit on prices without salesat least −158 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075368 instead of 0.075746; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004697 instead of 0.005028
Craft 3383454 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 121.39$ · invest 158.82$
profit on prices without salesat least −159 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear)
Craft 3380368 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 120.10$ · invest 158.09$
profit on prices without salesat least −158 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074438 instead of 0.075746; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.003883 instead of 0.005028
Craft 3383599 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 117.47$ · invest 158.06$
profit on prices without salesat least −148 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074648 instead of 0.075746; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.004067 instead of 0.005028
Craft 3383699 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 113.55$ · invest 159.19$
profit on prices without salesat least −150 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074289 instead of 0.075746; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New): float at most 0.003753 instead of 0.005028

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build