The Danger Zone Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×2

Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1648

0.71 $

at 0.36

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 0.47 $ +0.11 $ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0000–0.0216
SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New) — 0.69 $ +0.33 $ per item · on the market 315 · buy 0.0200–0.0425
Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 0.71 $ +0.36 $ per item · on the market 80 · buy 0.0000–0.0260

Steam

×8

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

19.47 $

at 2.43

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Factory New) — 3.12 $ +0.69 $ per item · on the market 482 · buy 0.0000–0.0060
FAMAS | 2A2F (Factory New) — 3.91 $ +1.48 $ per item · on the market 265 · buy 0.0000–0.0052
Glock-18 | Green Line (Factory New) — 10.95 $ +8.51 $ per item · on the market 180 · buy 0.0000–0.0060

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 20.19 $ +32.91 (+163.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −19 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×1

Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1696

0.36 $

at 0.36

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 0.47 $ +0.11 $ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0000–0.0258
SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New) — 0.69 $ +0.33 $ per item · on the market 315 · buy 0.0200–0.0468
Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 0.71 $ +0.36 $ per item · on the market 80 · buy 0.0000–0.0309

Steam

×9

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

21.91 $

at 2.43

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Factory New) — 3.12 $ +0.69 $ per item · on the market 482 · buy 0.0000–0.0079
FAMAS | 2A2F (Factory New) — 3.91 $ +1.48 $ per item · on the market 265 · buy 0.0000–0.0068
Glock-18 | Green Line (Factory New) — 10.95 $ +8.51 $ per item · on the market 180 · buy 0.0000–0.0079

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 22.26 $ +37.16 (+166.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×2

Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

0.71 $

at 0.36

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 0.47 $ +0.11 $ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0000–0.0217
SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New) — 0.69 $ +0.33 $ per item · on the market 315 · buy 0.0200–0.0425
Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 0.71 $ +0.36 $ per item · on the market 80 · buy 0.0000–0.0260

Steam

×5

MP9 | Modest Threat

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

2.35 $

at 0.47

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New) — 0.69 $ +0.22 $ per item · on the market 315 · buy 0.0200–0.0247
Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 0.71 $ +0.24 $ per item · on the market 80 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 0.89 $ +0.42 $ per item · on the market 451 · buy 0.0000–0.0045

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

7.30 $

at 2.43

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Factory New) — 3.12 $ +0.69 $ per item · on the market 482 · buy 0.0000–0.0060
FAMAS | 2A2F (Factory New) — 3.91 $ +1.48 $ per item · on the market 265 · buy 0.0000–0.0052
Glock-18 | Green Line (Factory New) — 10.95 $ +8.51 $ per item · on the market 180 · buy 0.0000–0.0060

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.37 $ +11.11 (+107.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×2

Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

0.71 $

at 0.36

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 0.47 $ +0.11 $ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0000–0.0217
SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New) — 0.69 $ +0.33 $ per item · on the market 315 · buy 0.0200–0.0425
Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 0.71 $ +0.36 $ per item · on the market 80 · buy 0.0000–0.0260

Steam

×6

MP9 | Modest Threat

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

2.82 $

at 0.47

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New) — 0.69 $ +0.22 $ per item · on the market 315 · buy 0.0200–0.0247
Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 0.71 $ +0.24 $ per item · on the market 80 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 0.89 $ +0.42 $ per item · on the market 451 · buy 0.0000–0.0045

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

4.87 $

at 2.43

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Factory New) — 3.12 $ +0.69 $ per item · on the market 482 · buy 0.0000–0.0060
FAMAS | 2A2F (Factory New) — 3.91 $ +1.48 $ per item · on the market 265 · buy 0.0000–0.0052
Glock-18 | Green Line (Factory New) — 10.95 $ +8.51 $ per item · on the market 180 · buy 0.0000–0.0060

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.40 $ +6.75 (+80.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×2

Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

0.71 $

at 0.36

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 0.47 $ +0.11 $ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0000–0.0217
SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New) — 0.69 $ +0.33 $ per item · on the market 315 · buy 0.0200–0.0425
Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 0.71 $ +0.36 $ per item · on the market 80 · buy 0.0000–0.0260

Steam

×7

MP9 | Modest Threat

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

3.29 $

at 0.47

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New) — 0.69 $ +0.22 $ per item · on the market 315 · buy 0.0200–0.0247
Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 0.71 $ +0.24 $ per item · on the market 80 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 0.89 $ +0.42 $ per item · on the market 451 · buy 0.0000–0.0045

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

2.43 $

at 2.43

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Factory New) — 3.12 $ +0.69 $ per item · on the market 482 · buy 0.0000–0.0060
FAMAS | 2A2F (Factory New) — 3.91 $ +1.48 $ per item · on the market 265 · buy 0.0000–0.0052
Glock-18 | Green Line (Factory New) — 10.95 $ +8.51 $ per item · on the market 180 · buy 0.0000–0.0060

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.44 $ +2.38 (+37.0%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 27%
Losing outcome 73%

at a loss

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.007446

9.90 $ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

15.35 $ 26.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

201.59 $ 26.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Scavenger

Factory New

float up to 0.006914

2.96 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Signal

Factory New

float up to 0.005319

2.21 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Factory New

float up to 0.009574

4.65 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Nevermore

Factory New

float up to 0.004255

2.00 $ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Flashback

Factory New

float up to 0.005319

2.57 $ 4.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +23.00 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +29.25 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3399858 · The Safehouse Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 33.84$ · invest 20.97$
profit on prices without salesat least −16 $

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006769 instead of 0.004528
Craft 3397485 · The Phoenix Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 33.48$ · invest 20.62$
profit on prices without salesat least −17 $

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.003521 instead of 0.004528
Craft 3381266 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 33.32$ · invest 20.49$
profit on prices without salesat least −17 $

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007229 instead of 0.004528
Craft 3400388 · The Snakebite Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 33.26$ · invest 20.42$
profit on prices without salesat least −17 $

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007229 instead of 0.004528
Craft 3380147 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 33.25$ · invest 20.09$
profit on prices without salesat least −17 $

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.004255 instead of 0.004528
Craft 3397885 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 33.11$ · invest 20.30$
profit on prices without salesat least −17 $ rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007572 instead of 0.004528
Craft 3389318 · The Fracture Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 32.99$ · invest 20.02$
profit on prices without salesat least −17 $

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007837 instead of 0.004528
Craft 3382975 · The Clutch Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 32.82$ · invest 20.17$
profit on prices without salesat least −18 $

SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007412 instead of 0.004528
Craft 3399549 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 29.66$ · invest 18.42$
profit on prices without salesat least −16 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006918 instead of 0.004528

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build

What you get 8 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The Danger Zone Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build