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The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +93.51₽

Invest 294.88₽

Average return 388.39₽

ROI +31.7%

Chance of profit 46%

With float: invest at least 719.26 ₽, profit at most −330.87 ₽

float premium: at least 403 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +354.64 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1727

14.70 ₽

at 14.70

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested) — 19.44 ₽ +4.74 ₽ per item · on the market 414 · buy 0.1500–0.1697
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) — 23.93 ₽ +9.23 ₽ per item · on the market 344 · buy 0.1500–0.3050
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) — 25.56 ₽ +10.86 ₽ per item · on the market 786 · buy 0.1500–0.1631

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1727

191.44 ₽

at 23.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 73.15 ₽ +49.22 ₽ per item · on the market 125 · buy 0.0000–0.0285
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 85.76 ₽ +61.83 ₽ per item · on the market 76 · buy 0.0000–0.0285
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 91.22 ₽ +67.29 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0342

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1697

88.74 ₽

at 88.74

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) — 98.33 ₽ +9.59 ₽ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.1500–0.2227
StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Field-Tested) — 120.00 ₽ +31.26 ₽ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.1500–0.1741
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear) — 140.58 ₽ +51.84 ₽ per item · on the market 46 · buy 0.0700–0.0946

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 294.88 ₽ +93.51 (+31.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1709

119.65 ₽

at 23.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 73.15 ₽ +49.22 ₽ per item · on the market 125 · buy 0.0000–0.0270
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 85.76 ₽ +61.83 ₽ per item · on the market 76 · buy 0.0000–0.0270
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 91.22 ₽ +67.29 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0324

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1709

196.66 ₽

at 98.33

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) — 123.36 ₽ +25.03 ₽ per item · on the market 31 · buy 0.0700–0.1187
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 139.10 ₽ +40.77 ₽ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0700–0.1348
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 168.50 ₽ +70.17 ₽ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0645

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

417.30 ₽

at 139.10

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 168.50 ₽ +29.40 ₽ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0149
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 172.21 ₽ +33.11 ₽ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0700–0.0856
StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 176.23 ₽ +37.13 ₽ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0274

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 733.61 ₽ +235.05 (+32.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1692

95.72 ₽

at 23.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 73.15 ₽ +49.22 ₽ per item · on the market 125 · buy 0.0000–0.0255
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 85.76 ₽ +61.83 ₽ per item · on the market 76 · buy 0.0000–0.0255
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 91.22 ₽ +67.29 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0306

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1692

196.66 ₽

at 98.33

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) — 123.36 ₽ +25.03 ₽ per item · on the market 31 · buy 0.0700–0.1169
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 139.10 ₽ +40.77 ₽ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0700–0.1337
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 168.50 ₽ +70.17 ₽ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0635

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

556.40 ₽

at 139.10

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 168.50 ₽ +29.40 ₽ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0144
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 172.21 ₽ +33.11 ₽ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0700–0.0847
StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 176.23 ₽ +37.13 ₽ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0265

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 848.78 ₽ +264.95 (+31.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1679

191.44 ₽

at 23.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 73.15 ₽ +49.22 ₽ per item · on the market 125 · buy 0.0000–0.0243
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 85.76 ₽ +61.83 ₽ per item · on the market 76 · buy 0.0000–0.0243
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 91.22 ₽ +67.29 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0292

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

88.74 ₽

at 88.74

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) — 98.33 ₽ +9.59 ₽ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.1500–0.2165
StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Field-Tested) — 120.00 ₽ +31.26 ₽ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.1500–0.1674
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear) — 140.58 ₽ +51.84 ₽ per item · on the market 46 · buy 0.0700–0.0910

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1679

98.33 ₽

at 98.33

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) — 123.36 ₽ +25.03 ₽ per item · on the market 31 · buy 0.0700–0.1154
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 139.10 ₽ +40.77 ₽ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0700–0.1327
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 168.50 ₽ +70.17 ₽ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0627

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 378.51 ₽ +154.95 (+40.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1676

71.79 ₽

at 23.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 73.15 ₽ +49.22 ₽ per item · on the market 125 · buy 0.0000–0.0240
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 85.76 ₽ +61.83 ₽ per item · on the market 76 · buy 0.0000–0.0240
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 91.22 ₽ +67.29 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0289

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1676

196.66 ₽

at 98.33

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) — 123.36 ₽ +25.03 ₽ per item · on the market 31 · buy 0.0700–0.1151
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 139.10 ₽ +40.77 ₽ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0700–0.1325
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 168.50 ₽ +70.17 ₽ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0625

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

695.50 ₽

at 139.10

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 168.50 ₽ +29.40 ₽ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0139
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 172.21 ₽ +33.11 ₽ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0700–0.0839
StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 176.23 ₽ +37.13 ₽ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0255

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 963.95 ₽ +294.85 (+30.6%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 28%
Losing outcome 54%
About break-even 18%

at a loss

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger

Factory New

float up to 0.056874

235.11 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

347.34 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.078749

169.51 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Nevermore

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

367.71 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

279.45 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

707.64 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 479.63 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

4 098.14 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

507.00 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 5 The Gallery Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +25.60 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +76.79 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3383764 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 89.64₽ · invest 298.17₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Twist (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162883 instead of 0.172738; StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162883 instead of 0.172738
Craft 3384415 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 87.64₽ · invest 291.55₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170760 instead of 0.172738; StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170760 instead of 0.172738

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build