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The Danger Zone Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −332.87₽

Invest at least 712.07₽

Average return 379.19₽

ROI −46.8%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 712.07 ₽, profit at most −332.87 ₽

float premium: at least 399 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1707

14.70 ₽

at 14.70

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested) — 19.44 ₽ +4.74 ₽ per item · on the market 414 · buy 0.1500–0.1679
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) — 23.93 ₽ +9.23 ₽ per item · on the market 344 · buy 0.1500–0.3031
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) — 25.56 ₽ +10.86 ₽ per item · on the market 786 · buy 0.1500–0.1612

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1707

191.44 ₽

at 23.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 73.15 ₽ +49.22 ₽ per item · on the market 125 · buy 0.0000–0.0268
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 85.76 ₽ +61.83 ₽ per item · on the market 76 · buy 0.0000–0.0268
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 91.22 ₽ +67.29 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0321

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1707

85.41 ₽

at 85.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Magma (Field-Tested) — 112.96 ₽ +27.55 ₽ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.1500–0.2113
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) — 153.00 ₽ +67.59 ₽ per item · on the market 134 · buy 0.1500–0.2509
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Kami (Minimal Wear) — 279.70 ₽ +194.29 ₽ per item · on the market 132 · buy 0.0700–0.0905

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 291.55 ₽ +87.64 (+30.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

191.44 ₽

at 23.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Factory New) — 73.15 ₽ +49.22 ₽ per item · on the market 125 · buy 0.0000–0.0199
StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) — 85.76 ₽ +61.83 ₽ per item · on the market 76 · buy 0.0000–0.0199
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New) — 91.22 ₽ +67.29 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0239

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

170.82 ₽

at 85.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Magma (Field-Tested) — 112.96 ₽ +27.55 ₽ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.1500–0.1976
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) — 153.00 ₽ +67.59 ₽ per item · on the market 134 · buy 0.1500–0.2411
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Kami (Minimal Wear) — 279.70 ₽ +194.29 ₽ per item · on the market 132 · buy 0.0700–0.0846

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 362.26 ₽ +81.47 (+22.5%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 36%
About break-even 18%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger

Factory New

float up to 0.050555

235.11 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal

Factory New

float up to 0.038888

347.34 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

579.68 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Nevermore

Factory New

float up to 0.031111

367.71 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback

Factory New

float up to 0.038888

279.45 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Marina

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.084999

1 024.80 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Pulse

Factory New

float up to 0.031111

1 356.61 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Rose Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.023333

1 036.67 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Skull

Factory New

float up to 0.038888

997.93 ₽ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 4 The Gallery Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +25.95 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +69.98 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3384367 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 93.51₽ · invest 294.88₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172738 instead of 0.170760; StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172738 instead of 0.170760
Craft 3383764 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 89.64₽ · invest 298.17₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Twist (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162883 instead of 0.170760; StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162883 instead of 0.170760

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build