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The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −4 445.47₴

Invest at least 7 507.94₴

Average return 3 062.47₴

ROI −59.2%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 7 507.94 ₴, profit at most −4 445.47 ₴

float premium: at least 4 498 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×1

P90 | Deathgaze

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4845

213.14 ₴

at 213.14

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred) — 227.19 ₴ +14.05 ₴ per item · on the market 121 · buy 0.4500–0.4845
AK-47 | Crane Flight (Battle-Scarred) — 427.28 ₴ +214.14 ₴ per item · on the market 267 · buy 0.4500–0.4845

Steam

×8

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

2 434.15 ₴

at 304.27

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Field-Tested) — 304.80 ₴ +0.53 ₴ per item · on the market 748 · buy 0.1500–0.1644
MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested) — 308.49 ₴ +4.22 ₴ per item · on the market 689 · buy 0.1500–0.1644

Steam

×1

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

344.03 ₴

at 344.03

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear) — 344.84 ₴ +0.81 ₴ per item · on the market 390 · buy 0.0700–0.0750
MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) — 349.41 ₴ +5.38 ₴ per item · on the market 306 · buy 0.0700–0.0750

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 991.32 ₴ +71.15 (+2.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

AK-47 | Nightwish

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

3 373.17 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 842.04 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Queen's Gambit

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

2 772.42 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

2 727.51 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −283.73 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −38.46 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3380431 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 65.46₴ · invest 3 401.89₴
P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) instead of P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred); AK-47 | Nightwish: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168442 instead of 0.164433; FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076414 instead of 0.075020

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build