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The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −10 452.81₽

Invest at least 31 342.88₽

Average return 20 890.06₽

ROI −33.4%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 31 342.88 ₽, profit at most −10 452.81 ₽

float premium: at least 17 684 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +8 187.52 ₽ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −13 171 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

7 186.62 ₽

at 1 197.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear) — 1 279.73 ₽ +81.96 ₽ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0700–0.0759
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear) — 4 750.67 ₽ +3 552.90 ₽ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.0700–0.0759

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

3 775.53 ₽

at 1 258.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) — 1 800.00 ₽ +541.49 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0759
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 2 209.15 ₽ +950.64 ₽ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0243

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

2 209.15 ₽

at 2 209.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New) — 3 998.87 ₽ +1 789.72 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0163
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) — 6 119.10 ₽ +3 909.95 ₽ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0000–0.0163

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13 171.30 ₽ +7 718.76 (+58.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −12 989 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

10 779.93 ₽

at 1 197.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear) — 1 279.73 ₽ +81.96 ₽ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0700–0.0759
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear) — 4 750.67 ₽ +3 552.90 ₽ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.0700–0.0759

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

2 209.15 ₽

at 2 209.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New) — 3 998.87 ₽ +1 789.72 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0163
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) — 6 119.10 ₽ +3 909.95 ₽ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0000–0.0163

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12 989.08 ₽ +8 187.52 (+63.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −13 050 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

9 582.16 ₽

at 1 197.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear) — 1 279.73 ₽ +81.96 ₽ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0700–0.0759
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear) — 4 750.67 ₽ +3 552.90 ₽ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.0700–0.0759

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

1 258.51 ₽

at 1 258.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) — 1 800.00 ₽ +541.49 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0759
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 2 209.15 ₽ +950.64 ₽ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0243

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

2 209.15 ₽

at 2 209.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New) — 3 998.87 ₽ +1 789.72 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0163
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) — 6 119.10 ₽ +3 909.95 ₽ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0000–0.0163

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13 049.82 ₽ +8 031.27 (+61.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −13 111 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

8 384.39 ₽

at 1 197.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear) — 1 279.73 ₽ +81.96 ₽ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0700–0.0759
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear) — 4 750.67 ₽ +3 552.90 ₽ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.0700–0.0759

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

2 517.02 ₽

at 1 258.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) — 1 800.00 ₽ +541.49 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0759
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 2 209.15 ₽ +950.64 ₽ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0243

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

2 209.15 ₽

at 2 209.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New) — 3 998.87 ₽ +1 789.72 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0163
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) — 6 119.10 ₽ +3 909.95 ₽ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0000–0.0163

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13 110.56 ₽ +7 875.02 (+60.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −13 354 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

3 593.31 ₽

at 1 197.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear) — 1 279.73 ₽ +81.96 ₽ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0700–0.0759
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear) — 4 750.67 ₽ +3 552.90 ₽ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.0700–0.0759

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

7 551.06 ₽

at 1 258.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) — 1 800.00 ₽ +541.49 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0759
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 2 209.15 ₽ +950.64 ₽ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0243

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

2 209.15 ₽

at 2 209.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New) — 3 998.87 ₽ +1 789.72 ₽ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0163
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) — 6 119.10 ₽ +3 909.95 ₽ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0000–0.0163

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13 353.52 ₽ +7 250.01 (+54.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AWP | Queen's Gambit

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

26 180.78 ₽ 30.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22 745.09 ₽ 30.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

25 354.50 ₽ 20.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

21 374.57 ₽ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4 318.95 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6 940.44 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build