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The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −870.53₸

Invest at least 1 531.11₸

Average return 660.59₸

ROI −56.9%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 1 531.11 ₸, profit at most −870.53 ₸

float premium: at least 802 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +30.59 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈4, цена занижена

×5

M4A4 | Zubastick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1690

258.98 ₸

at 51.80

if this one runs out, you can take

M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 54.44 ₸ +2.64 ₸ per item · on the market 939 · buy 0.1500–0.1690
Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested) — 54.44 ₸ +2.64 ₸ per item · on the market 828 · buy 0.1500–0.1690
UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 54.44 ₸ +2.64 ₸ per item · on the market 935 · buy 0.1500–0.1690

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

103.82 ₸

at 103.82

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear) — 106.85 ₸ +3.04 ₸ per item · on the market 491 · buy 0.0700–0.0766
M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear) — 106.91 ₸ +3.09 ₸ per item · on the market 786 · buy 0.0700–0.0766
M4A4 | Zubastick (Minimal Wear) — 110.74 ₸ +6.92 ₸ per item · on the market 1 118 · buy 0.0700–0.0766

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Mockingbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

282.10 ₸

at 70.52

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 80.25 ₸ +9.73 ₸ per item · on the market 690 · buy 0.0700–0.0766
MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 98.36 ₸ +27.84 ₸ per item · on the market 771 · buy 0.0700–0.0766
M4A4 | Choppa (Minimal Wear) — 117.26 ₸ +46.73 ₸ per item · on the market 1 815 · buy 0.0700–0.0766

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 644.90 ₸ +15.69 (+2.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈4, цена занижена

×5

M4A4 | Zubastick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1690

258.98 ₸

at 51.80

if this one runs out, you can take

M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 54.44 ₸ +2.64 ₸ per item · on the market 939 · buy 0.1500–0.1690
Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested) — 54.44 ₸ +2.64 ₸ per item · on the market 828 · buy 0.1500–0.1690
UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 54.44 ₸ +2.64 ₸ per item · on the market 935 · buy 0.1500–0.1690

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

415.27 ₸

at 103.82

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear) — 106.85 ₸ +3.04 ₸ per item · on the market 491 · buy 0.0700–0.0766
M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear) — 106.91 ₸ +3.09 ₸ per item · on the market 786 · buy 0.0700–0.0766
M4A4 | Zubastick (Minimal Wear) — 110.74 ₸ +6.92 ₸ per item · on the market 1 118 · buy 0.0700–0.0766

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Mockingbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

70.52 ₸

at 70.52

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 80.25 ₸ +9.73 ₸ per item · on the market 690 · buy 0.0700–0.0766
MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 98.36 ₸ +27.84 ₸ per item · on the market 771 · buy 0.0700–0.0766
M4A4 | Choppa (Minimal Wear) — 117.26 ₸ +46.73 ₸ per item · on the market 1 815 · buy 0.0700–0.0766

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 744.78 ₸ +30.59 (+4.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈4, цена занижена

×5

M4A4 | Zubastick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1690

258.98 ₸

at 51.80

if this one runs out, you can take

M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 54.44 ₸ +2.64 ₸ per item · on the market 939 · buy 0.1500–0.1690
Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested) — 54.44 ₸ +2.64 ₸ per item · on the market 828 · buy 0.1500–0.1690
UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 54.44 ₸ +2.64 ₸ per item · on the market 935 · buy 0.1500–0.1690

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

311.45 ₸

at 103.82

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear) — 106.85 ₸ +3.04 ₸ per item · on the market 491 · buy 0.0700–0.0766
M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear) — 106.91 ₸ +3.09 ₸ per item · on the market 786 · buy 0.0700–0.0766
M4A4 | Zubastick (Minimal Wear) — 110.74 ₸ +6.92 ₸ per item · on the market 1 118 · buy 0.0700–0.0766

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Mockingbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

141.05 ₸

at 70.52

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 80.25 ₸ +9.73 ₸ per item · on the market 690 · buy 0.0700–0.0766
MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 98.36 ₸ +27.84 ₸ per item · on the market 771 · buy 0.0700–0.0766
M4A4 | Choppa (Minimal Wear) — 117.26 ₸ +46.73 ₸ per item · on the market 1 815 · buy 0.0700–0.0766

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 711.48 ₸ +25.65 (+3.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈4, цена занижена

×5

M4A4 | Zubastick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1690

258.98 ₸

at 51.80

if this one runs out, you can take

M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 54.44 ₸ +2.64 ₸ per item · on the market 939 · buy 0.1500–0.1690
Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested) — 54.44 ₸ +2.64 ₸ per item · on the market 828 · buy 0.1500–0.1690
UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 54.44 ₸ +2.64 ₸ per item · on the market 935 · buy 0.1500–0.1690

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

207.64 ₸

at 103.82

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear) — 106.85 ₸ +3.04 ₸ per item · on the market 491 · buy 0.0700–0.0766
M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear) — 106.91 ₸ +3.09 ₸ per item · on the market 786 · buy 0.0700–0.0766
M4A4 | Zubastick (Minimal Wear) — 110.74 ₸ +6.92 ₸ per item · on the market 1 118 · buy 0.0700–0.0766

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Mockingbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

211.57 ₸

at 70.52

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 80.25 ₸ +9.73 ₸ per item · on the market 690 · buy 0.0700–0.0766
MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 98.36 ₸ +27.84 ₸ per item · on the market 771 · buy 0.0700–0.0766
M4A4 | Choppa (Minimal Wear) — 117.26 ₸ +46.73 ₸ per item · on the market 1 815 · buy 0.0700–0.0766

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 678.19 ₸ +20.64 (+3.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈4, цена занижена

×5

M4A4 | Zubastick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1690

258.98 ₸

at 51.80

if this one runs out, you can take

M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 54.44 ₸ +2.64 ₸ per item · on the market 939 · buy 0.1500–0.1690
Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested) — 54.44 ₸ +2.64 ₸ per item · on the market 828 · buy 0.1500–0.1690
UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 54.44 ₸ +2.64 ₸ per item · on the market 935 · buy 0.1500–0.1690

Steam

×5

XM1014 | Mockingbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

352.62 ₸

at 70.52

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 80.25 ₸ +9.73 ₸ per item · on the market 690 · buy 0.0700–0.0766
MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 98.36 ₸ +27.84 ₸ per item · on the market 771 · buy 0.0700–0.0766
M4A4 | Choppa (Minimal Wear) — 117.26 ₸ +46.73 ₸ per item · on the market 1 815 · buy 0.0700–0.0766

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 611.60 ₸ +10.69 (+1.8%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 32%
About break-even 8%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.122806

984.19 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.122806

867.10 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Electrum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.122806

1 152.57 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Amberline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.122806

868.67 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.122806

805.96 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

about break-even

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

775.82 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Control

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.098122

421.79 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Rising Sun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.122806

466.39 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Wave Breaker

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116733

458.52 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.085964

355.54 ₸ 8.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −57.53 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −5.79 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build