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The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +0.87$

Invest 42.96$

Average return 43.83$

ROI +2.0%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest 48.61 $, profit −4.78 $

float premium: none: float doesn't matter

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈99

×1

P90 | Deathgaze

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.9999

4.69 $

at 4.69

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred) — 5.00 $ +0.31 $ per item · on the market 121 · buy 0.4500–0.9999
AK-47 | Crane Flight (Battle-Scarred) — 9.40 $ +4.71 $ per item · on the market 267 · buy 0.4500–0.9999

Steam

×9

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.9999

38.27 $

at 4.25

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Shinobu (Battle-Scarred) — 4.70 $ +0.45 $ per item · on the market 323 · buy 0.4500–0.9999
AK-47 | Searing Rage (Battle-Scarred) — 4.89 $ +0.64 $ per item · on the market 374 · buy 0.4500–0.9999

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 42.96 $ +0.87 (+2.0%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

AWP | Printstream

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

49.96 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

52.87 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Queen's Gambit

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

42.86 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

39.75 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −4.74 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.70 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Fever Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build