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The Dead Hand Collection + The Fracture Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +2.24₴

Invest 61.06₴

Average return 63.29₴

ROI +3.7%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 150.94 ₴, profit at most −87.65 ₴

float premium: at least 85 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +8.42 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈3, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5074

47.73 ₴

at 6.82

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred) — 7.17 ₴ +0.36 ₴ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.4500–0.5074
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 7.45 ₴ +0.63 ₴ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.4500–0.5074
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 8.51 ₴ +1.69 ₴ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.4500–0.5074

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Runic

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5074

4.36 ₴

at 4.36

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Ultralight (Field-Tested) — 4.48 ₴ +0.12 ₴ per item · on the market 1 025 · buy 0.1500–0.3800
StatTrak™ P90 | Freight (Well-Worn) — 4.56 ₴ +0.19 ₴ per item · on the market 711 · buy 0.3800–0.4500
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Field-Tested) — 4.56 ₴ +0.19 ₴ per item · on the market 766 · buy 0.1500–0.3552

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Negev | Ultralight

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1740

8.96 ₴

at 4.48

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Field-Tested) — 4.56 ₴ +0.07 ₴ per item · on the market 766 · buy 0.1500–0.1541
StatTrak™ P90 | Freight (Field-Tested) — 4.83 ₴ +0.35 ₴ per item · on the market 703 · buy 0.1500–0.2202
StatTrak™ P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) — 5.38 ₴ +0.90 ₴ per item · on the market 702 · buy 0.1500–0.2202

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 61.06 ₴ +2.24 (+3.7%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈3, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4881

54.55 ₴

at 6.82

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred) — 7.17 ₴ +0.36 ₴ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.4500–0.4881
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 7.45 ₴ +0.63 ₴ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.4500–0.4881
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 8.51 ₴ +1.69 ₴ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.4500–0.4881

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Runic

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3848

4.45 ₴

at 4.45

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Ultralight (Field-Tested) — 4.48 ₴ +0.03 ₴ per item · on the market 1 025 · buy 0.1500–0.3040
StatTrak™ P90 | Freight (Well-Worn) — 4.56 ₴ +0.11 ₴ per item · on the market 711 · buy 0.3800–0.3848
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Field-Tested) — 4.56 ₴ +0.11 ₴ per item · on the market 766 · buy 0.1500–0.2693

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Negev | Ultralight

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1659

4.48 ₴

at 4.48

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight (Field-Tested) — 4.83 ₴ +0.35 ₴ per item · on the market 703 · buy 0.1500–0.2100
StatTrak™ P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) — 5.38 ₴ +0.90 ₴ per item · on the market 702 · buy 0.1500–0.2100
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Runic (Field-Tested) — 5.46 ₴ +0.98 ₴ per item · on the market 566 · buy 0.1500–0.2100

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 63.48 ₴ +5.48 (+8.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×9

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4818

61.37 ₴

at 6.82

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred) — 7.17 ₴ +0.36 ₴ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.4500–0.4818
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 7.45 ₴ +0.63 ₴ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.4500–0.4818
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 8.51 ₴ +1.69 ₴ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.4500–0.4818

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

4.83 ₴

at 4.83

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) — 5.38 ₴ +0.55 ₴ per item · on the market 702 · buy 0.1500–0.1633
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Runic (Field-Tested) — 5.46 ₴ +0.63 ₴ per item · on the market 566 · buy 0.1500–0.1633
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Field-Tested) — 6.06 ₴ +1.22 ₴ per item · on the market 761 · buy 0.1500–0.1633

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 66.20 ₴ +8.42 (+12.7%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 56%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 14%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

101.81 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

73.95 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

139.85 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

73.81 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

72.22 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Connexion

Field-Tested

float up to 0.359999

29.54 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Allure

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

27.09 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Monster Call

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

29.19 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Kitbash

Field-Tested

float up to 0.359999

26.53 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Brother

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

23.54 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 4 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −5.98 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.73 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build