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Crafts · The Dead Hand Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

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The Dead Hand Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +71.16$

Invest 222.57$

Average return 293.73$

ROI +32.0%

Chance of profit 95%

With float: invest at least 531.94 $, profit at most −238.21 $

float premium: at least 303 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −223 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

119.04 $

at 14.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear) — 15.90 $ +1.02 $ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0700–0.0769
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear) — 59.02 $ +44.14 $ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.0700–0.0769

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

42.51 $

at 42.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New) — 42.77 $ +0.26 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0060
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Factory New) — 134.40 $ +91.89 $ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0000–0.0060

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

61.02 $

at 61.02

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) — 82.25 $ +21.23 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0890
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New) — 165.67 $ +104.65 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0000–0.0549

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 222.57 $ +71.16 (+32.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −269 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

104.16 $

at 14.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear) — 15.90 $ +1.02 $ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0700–0.0767
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear) — 59.02 $ +44.14 $ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.0700–0.0767

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

42.51 $

at 42.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New) — 42.77 $ +0.26 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0059
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Factory New) — 134.40 $ +91.89 $ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0000–0.0059

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

122.04 $

at 61.02

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) — 82.25 $ +21.23 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0889
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New) — 165.67 $ +104.65 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0000–0.0548

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 268.71 $ +54.48 (+20.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −315 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

89.28 $

at 14.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear) — 15.90 $ +1.02 $ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0700–0.0766
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear) — 59.02 $ +44.14 $ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.0700–0.0766

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

42.51 $

at 42.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New) — 42.77 $ +0.26 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0057
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Factory New) — 134.40 $ +91.89 $ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0000–0.0057

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

183.06 $

at 61.02

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) — 82.25 $ +21.23 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0887
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New) — 165.67 $ +104.65 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0000–0.0547

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 314.85 $ +37.81 (+12.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −361 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

74.40 $

at 14.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear) — 15.90 $ +1.02 $ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0700–0.0764
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear) — 59.02 $ +44.14 $ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.0700–0.0764

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

42.51 $

at 42.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New) — 42.77 $ +0.26 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Factory New) — 134.40 $ +91.89 $ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0000–0.0056

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

244.08 $

at 61.02

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) — 82.25 $ +21.23 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0886
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New) — 165.67 $ +104.65 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0000–0.0546

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 360.99 $ +21.13 (+5.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −407 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

59.52 $

at 14.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear) — 15.90 $ +1.02 $ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0700–0.0763
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear) — 59.02 $ +44.14 $ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.0700–0.0763

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

42.51 $

at 42.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New) — 42.77 $ +0.26 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0000–0.0055
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Factory New) — 134.40 $ +91.89 $ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0000–0.0055

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

305.09 $

at 61.02

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) — 82.25 $ +21.23 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0885
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New) — 165.67 $ +104.65 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0000–0.0545

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 407.13 $ +4.46 (+1.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 5%

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Queen's Gambit

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

325.24 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

282.56 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

217.02 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

1 068.46 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +31.44 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +64.39 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Operation Broken Fang Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3384907 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 72.02$ · invest 196.56$
profit on prices without salesat least −197 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076929; StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New): float at most 0.006202 instead of 0.006063
Craft 3385327 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 67.61$ · invest 187.56$
profit on prices without salesat least −188 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076929; StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New): float at most 0.006202 instead of 0.006063
Craft 3385352 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 65.01$ · invest 204.68$
profit on prices without salesat least −177 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076929; StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New): float at most 0.006202 instead of 0.006063

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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