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The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Average profit +0.25$

Invest 7.42$

Average return 7.67$

ROI +3.4%

Chance of profit 33%

With float: invest 16.13 $, profit −8.46 $

float premium: 6 $ (65.2%)

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

24% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈9

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.6923

1.07 $

at 1.07

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Battle-Scarred) — 1.24 $ +0.17 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.4500–0.6923
StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Battle-Scarred) — 1.24 $ +0.17 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.4500–0.6923
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Battle-Scarred) — 2.16 $ +1.09 $ per item · on the market 60 · buy 0.4500–0.6923

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Enforcer

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.6923

6.36 $

at 0.71

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Acid Etched (Battle-Scarred) — 0.77 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.4500–0.6923
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Well-Worn) — 0.82 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.3800–0.4500
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Darkwing (Well-Worn) — 0.87 $ +0.17 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.3800–0.4500

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.42 $ +0.25 (+3.4%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 67%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

15.01 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Disco Tech

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.692307

6.21 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.692307

4.88 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.692307

18.12 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.692307

5.05 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.692307

6.67 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Shadow Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Recoil Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Gamma Collection instead of The Prisma 2 Collection Variant 5 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Prisma 2 Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.74 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.09 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Prisma 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3379769 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 0.27$ · invest 7.65$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.681126 instead of 0.692307
Craft 3397833 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 0.27$ · invest 7.52$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Goo (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.674556 instead of 0.692307
Craft 3397861 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 0.27$ · invest 8.61$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.678571 instead of 0.692307

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build