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Crafts · The Dead Hand Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

$≈

The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolution Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +13.07$

Invest 39.30$

Average return 52.37$

ROI +33.3%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 100.45 $, profit at most −48.08 $

float premium: at least 57 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3847

6.18 $

at 6.18

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Well-Worn) — 6.83 $ +0.65 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.3800–0.3847
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Well-Worn) — 22.89 $ +16.71 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.3800–0.3847

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

33.12 $

at 3.68

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) — 4.18 $ +0.51 $ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.1500–0.1655
StatTrak™ AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) — 9.28 $ +5.60 $ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.0700–0.1324

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 39.30 $ +13.07 (+33.3%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3847

6.18 $

at 6.18

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Well-Worn) — 6.83 $ +0.65 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.3800–0.3847
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Well-Worn) — 22.89 $ +16.71 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.3800–0.3847

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

7.45 $

at 7.45

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) — 8.57 $ +1.12 $ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.1500–0.1655
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Field-Tested) — 38.02 $ +30.57 $ per item · on the market 122 · buy 0.1500–0.1655

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

29.44 $

at 3.68

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) — 4.18 $ +0.51 $ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.1500–0.1655
StatTrak™ AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) — 9.28 $ +5.60 $ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.0700–0.1324

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 43.07 $ +10.63 (+24.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3847

6.18 $

at 6.18

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Well-Worn) — 6.83 $ +0.65 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.3800–0.3847
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Well-Worn) — 22.89 $ +16.71 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.3800–0.3847

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

14.91 $

at 7.45

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) — 8.57 $ +1.12 $ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.1500–0.1655
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Field-Tested) — 38.02 $ +30.57 $ per item · on the market 122 · buy 0.1500–0.1655

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

25.76 $

at 3.68

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) — 4.18 $ +0.51 $ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.1500–0.1655
StatTrak™ AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) — 9.28 $ +5.60 $ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.0700–0.1324

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 46.85 $ +8.18 (+17.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −13 $

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3847

6.18 $

at 6.18

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Well-Worn) — 6.83 $ +0.65 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.3800–0.3847
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Well-Worn) — 22.89 $ +16.71 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.3800–0.3847

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

29.82 $

at 7.45

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) — 8.57 $ +1.12 $ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.1500–0.1655
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Field-Tested) — 38.02 $ +30.57 $ per item · on the market 122 · buy 0.1500–0.1655

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

18.40 $

at 3.68

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) — 4.18 $ +0.51 $ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.1500–0.1655
StatTrak™ AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) — 9.28 $ +5.60 $ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.0700–0.1324

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 54.40 $ +3.29 (+6.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −18 $

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3847

6.18 $

at 6.18

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Well-Worn) — 6.83 $ +0.65 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.3800–0.3847
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Well-Worn) — 22.89 $ +16.71 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.3800–0.3847

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

37.27 $

at 7.45

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) — 8.57 $ +1.12 $ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.1500–0.1655
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Field-Tested) — 38.02 $ +30.57 $ per item · on the market 122 · buy 0.1500–0.1655

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

14.72 $

at 3.68

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested) — 4.18 $ +0.51 $ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.1500–0.1655
StatTrak™ AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) — 9.28 $ +5.60 $ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.0700–0.1324

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 58.17 $ +0.84 (+1.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

30.43 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

86.97 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Queen's Gambit

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

74.54 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

73.41 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolution Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 only The Revolution Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4.55 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +10.71 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3379905 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 14.19$ · invest 45.48$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)
Craft 3392593 · The Glove Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 14.18$ · invest 44.01$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested): float at most 0.181451 instead of 0.165584
Craft 3391329 · The Gamma Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 14.10$ · invest 43.97$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested): float at most 0.177098 instead of 0.165584
Craft 3399060 · The Revolution Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 13.66$ · invest 42.01$
rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)
Craft 3379906 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 12.94$ · invest 48.00$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163956 instead of 0.165584
Craft 3388306 · The Fever Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 12.87$ · invest 38.78$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)
Craft 3399190 · The Revolution Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 12.81$ · invest 43.72$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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