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Crafts · The Dead Hand Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

₴≈

The Dead Hand Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −143.08₴

Invest at least 381.91₴

Average return 238.83₴

ROI −37.5%

Chance of profit 24%

With float: invest at least 381.91 ₴, profit at most −143.08 ₴

float premium: at least 211 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

80.48 ₴

at 11.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 11.70 ₴ +0.20 ₴ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.1500–0.1653
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 11.71 ₴ +0.21 ₴ per item · on the market 99 · buy 0.1500–0.1653
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 12.98 ₴ +1.48 ₴ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.1500–0.1653

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

41.81 ₴

at 20.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear) — 22.39 ₴ +1.48 ₴ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0700–0.0753
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear) — 23.32 ₴ +2.41 ₴ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.0700–0.0753
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Minimal Wear) — 31.34 ₴ +10.43 ₴ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0700–0.0753

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

39.01 ₴

at 39.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) — 40.96 ₴ +1.95 ₴ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.1500–0.1537
StatTrak™ Nova | Plume (Field-Tested) — 43.89 ₴ +4.87 ₴ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.1500–0.1537
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) — 60.85 ₴ +21.84 ₴ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0700–0.0864

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 161.31 ₴ +77.52 (+48.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1689

45.99 ₴

at 11.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 11.70 ₴ +0.20 ₴ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.1500–0.1689
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 11.71 ₴ +0.21 ₴ per item · on the market 99 · buy 0.1500–0.1689
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 12.98 ₴ +1.48 ₴ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.1500–0.1689

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

62.72 ₴

at 20.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear) — 22.39 ₴ +1.48 ₴ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear) — 23.32 ₴ +2.41 ₴ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Minimal Wear) — 31.34 ₴ +10.43 ₴ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0700–0.0765

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1689

117.04 ₴

at 39.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) — 40.96 ₴ +1.95 ₴ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.1500–0.1585
StatTrak™ Nova | Plume (Field-Tested) — 43.89 ₴ +4.87 ₴ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.1500–0.1585
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) — 60.85 ₴ +21.84 ₴ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0700–0.0891

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 225.75 ₴ +60.94 (+27.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

34.49 ₴

at 11.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 11.70 ₴ +0.20 ₴ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.1500–0.1661
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 11.71 ₴ +0.21 ₴ per item · on the market 99 · buy 0.1500–0.1661
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 12.98 ₴ +1.48 ₴ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.1500–0.1661

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

62.72 ₴

at 20.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear) — 22.39 ₴ +1.48 ₴ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0700–0.0756
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear) — 23.32 ₴ +2.41 ₴ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.0700–0.0756
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Minimal Wear) — 31.34 ₴ +10.43 ₴ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0700–0.0756

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

156.06 ₴

at 39.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) — 40.96 ₴ +1.95 ₴ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.1500–0.1549
StatTrak™ Nova | Plume (Field-Tested) — 43.89 ₴ +4.87 ₴ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.1500–0.1549
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) — 60.85 ₴ +21.84 ₴ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0700–0.0871

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 253.27 ₴ +57.36 (+22.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −60 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

11.50 ₴

at 11.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 11.70 ₴ +0.20 ₴ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.1500–0.1643
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 11.71 ₴ +0.21 ₴ per item · on the market 99 · buy 0.1500–0.1643
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 12.98 ₴ +1.48 ₴ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.1500–0.1643

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

41.81 ₴

at 20.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear) — 22.39 ₴ +1.48 ₴ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0700–0.0750
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear) — 23.32 ₴ +2.41 ₴ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.0700–0.0750
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Minimal Wear) — 31.34 ₴ +10.43 ₴ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0700–0.0750

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

234.09 ₴

at 39.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) — 40.96 ₴ +1.95 ₴ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.1500–0.1525
StatTrak™ Nova | Plume (Field-Tested) — 43.89 ₴ +4.87 ₴ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.1500–0.1525
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) — 60.85 ₴ +21.84 ₴ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0700–0.0857

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

87.18 ₴

at 87.18

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Torn (Factory New) — 182.38 ₴ +95.19 ₴ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0000–0.0187
StatTrak™ Nova | Plume (Factory New) — 212.93 ₴ +125.74 ₴ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0333
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Acid Wash (Factory New) — 245.76 ₴ +158.57 ₴ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0283

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 374.58 ₴ +7.86 (+2.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

23.00 ₴

at 11.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 11.70 ₴ +0.20 ₴ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.1500–0.1637
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 11.71 ₴ +0.21 ₴ per item · on the market 99 · buy 0.1500–0.1637
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 12.98 ₴ +1.48 ₴ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.1500–0.1637

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

62.72 ₴

at 20.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear) — 22.39 ₴ +1.48 ₴ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0700–0.0747
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear) — 23.32 ₴ +2.41 ₴ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.0700–0.0747
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Minimal Wear) — 31.34 ₴ +10.43 ₴ per item · on the market 105 · buy 0.0700–0.0747

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

195.07 ₴

at 39.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) — 40.96 ₴ +1.95 ₴ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.1500–0.1516
StatTrak™ Nova | Plume (Field-Tested) — 43.89 ₴ +4.87 ₴ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.1500–0.1516
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Torn (Minimal Wear) — 60.85 ₴ +21.84 ₴ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0700–0.0853

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 280.79 ₴ +53.78 (+19.1%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 36%
About break-even 18%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

291.69 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

165.38 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

443.11 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

184.47 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

151.02 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Rat Rod

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

778.91 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

368.10 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Embargo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

486.71 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Obsidian

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

419.29 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Neon Ply

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

558.86 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +48.27 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +73.64 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3384864 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 82.81₴ · invest 155.22₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163693 instead of 0.165309; StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074763 instead of 0.075325
Craft 3385139 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 82.68₴ · invest 138.09₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163693 instead of 0.165309; StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074763 instead of 0.075325
Craft 3384932 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 82.38₴ · invest 147.46₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168318 instead of 0.165309; StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076371 instead of 0.075325
Craft 3385099 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 79.68₴ · invest 142.12₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Yorick (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.165309; StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076399 instead of 0.075325
Craft 3384982 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 79.20₴ · invest 140.58₴
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Akoben (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162182 instead of 0.165309; StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074237 instead of 0.075325
Craft 3385190 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 78.59₴ · invest 140.81₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168399 instead of 0.165309; StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076399 instead of 0.075325

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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