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The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +0.16$

Invest 2.15$

Average return 2.31$

ROI +7.5%

Chance of profit 36%

With float: invest 2.36 $, profit −0.05 $

float premium: 0 $ (5.3%)

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +0.48 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈56% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈60

×5

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.4336

0.96 $

at 0.19

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Well-Worn) — 0.20 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 171 · buy 0.3800–0.4336
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Well-Worn) — 0.20 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.3800–0.4336
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Well-Worn) — 0.20 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 92 · buy 0.3800–0.4336

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.3263

1.01 $

at 0.25

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.1500–0.3263
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 99 · buy 0.1500–0.3263
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 0.29 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.1500–0.3263

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Morris

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.3263

0.18 $

at 0.18

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Field-Tested) — 0.21 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.1500–0.1631
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Hunter (Field-Tested) — 0.22 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.1500–0.3263
StatTrak™ AUG | Triqua (Field-Tested) — 0.25 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 268 · buy 0.1500–0.3263

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.15 $ +0.16 (+7.5%)

≈67% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈68

×4

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.4381

0.77 $

at 0.19

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Well-Worn) — 0.20 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 171 · buy 0.3800–0.4381
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Well-Worn) — 0.20 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.3800–0.4381
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Well-Worn) — 0.20 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 92 · buy 0.3800–0.4381

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.3412

1.01 $

at 0.25

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.1500–0.3412
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 99 · buy 0.1500–0.3412
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 0.29 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.1500–0.3412

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Morris

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.3412

0.36 $

at 0.18

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Field-Tested) — 0.21 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.1500–0.1706
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Hunter (Field-Tested) — 0.22 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.1500–0.3412
StatTrak™ AUG | Triqua (Field-Tested) — 0.25 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 268 · buy 0.1500–0.3412

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.14 $ +0.04 (+1.8%)

≈56% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈60

×5

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.4336

0.96 $

at 0.19

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Well-Worn) — 0.20 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 171 · buy 0.3800–0.4336
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Well-Worn) — 0.20 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.3800–0.4336
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Well-Worn) — 0.20 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 92 · buy 0.3800–0.4336

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.3263

0.76 $

at 0.25

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.1500–0.3263
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 99 · buy 0.1500–0.3263
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 0.29 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.1500–0.3263

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Morris

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.3263

0.36 $

at 0.18

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Field-Tested) — 0.21 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.1500–0.1631
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Hunter (Field-Tested) — 0.22 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.1500–0.3263
StatTrak™ AUG | Triqua (Field-Tested) — 0.25 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 268 · buy 0.1500–0.3263

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.08 $ +0.10 (+4.7%)

6% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈9, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5628

0.75 $

at 0.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.4500–0.5628
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.4500–0.5628
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.4500–0.5628

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Morris

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1971

0.89 $

at 0.18

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Hunter (Field-Tested) — 0.22 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.1500–0.1971
StatTrak™ AUG | Triqua (Field-Tested) — 0.25 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 268 · buy 0.1500–0.1971
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Cracked Opal (Field-Tested) — 0.33 $ +0.15 $ per item · on the market 182 · buy 0.1500–0.1971

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.64 $ +0.12 (+7.2%)

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈4, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5151

0.90 $

at 0.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.4500–0.5151
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.4500–0.5151
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.4500–0.5151

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1772

0.76 $

at 0.25

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.1500–0.1772
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 99 · buy 0.1500–0.1772
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested) — 0.29 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.1500–0.1772

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Morris

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1772

0.18 $

at 0.18

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Hunter (Field-Tested) — 0.22 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.1500–0.1772
StatTrak™ AUG | Triqua (Field-Tested) — 0.25 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 268 · buy 0.1500–0.1772
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Cracked Opal (Field-Tested) — 0.33 $ +0.15 $ per item · on the market 182 · buy 0.1500–0.1772

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.84 $ +0.48 (+25.9%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 36%
Losing outcome 64%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

3.34 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

1.93 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

4.84 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

1.99 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

2.00 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tacticat

Field-Tested

float up to 0.265999

1.34 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Goo

Field-Tested

float up to 0.227999

1.20 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Phantom

Field-Tested

float up to 0.227999

1.24 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure

Field-Tested

float up to 0.208999

1.22 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Ziggy

Field-Tested

float up to 0.273599

1.12 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.12 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.13 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Spectrum 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3384956 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 0.16$ · invest 2.15$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Morris (Field-Tested)
Craft 3384934 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 0.16$ · invest 2.53$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Morris (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Well-Worn): float at most 0.430670 instead of 0.433666; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.316487 instead of 0.326333
Craft 3383330 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 0.16$ · invest 2.16$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Morris (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Well-Worn): float at most 0.432002 instead of 0.433666; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.320866 instead of 0.326333
Craft 3384672 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 0.15$ · invest 2.28$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Harvester (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Morris (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Well-Worn): float at most 0.431333 instead of 0.433666; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested): float at most 0.318666 instead of 0.326333

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build