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The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −2.24$

Invest at least 3.94$

Average return 1.70$

ROI −56.9%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 3.94 $, profit at most −2.24 $

float premium: at least 2 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×9

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4818

1.35 $

at 0.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.4500–0.4818
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.4500–0.4818
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.4500–0.4818

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Morris

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

0.18 $

at 0.18

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Hunter (Field-Tested) — 0.22 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.1500–0.1633
StatTrak™ AUG | Triqua (Field-Tested) — 0.25 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 268 · buy 0.1500–0.1633
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Cracked Opal (Field-Tested) — 0.33 $ +0.15 $ per item · on the market 182 · buy 0.1500–0.1633

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.53 $ +0.17 (+11.0%)

3% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈6, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5179

1.20 $

at 0.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.4500–0.5179
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred) — 0.16 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.4500–0.5179
StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Battle-Scarred) — 0.19 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.4500–0.5179

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Morris

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1783

0.36 $

at 0.18

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Hunter (Field-Tested) — 0.22 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.1500–0.1783
StatTrak™ AUG | Triqua (Field-Tested) — 0.25 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 268 · buy 0.1500–0.1783
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Cracked Opal (Field-Tested) — 0.33 $ +0.15 $ per item · on the market 182 · buy 0.1500–0.1783

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.56 $ +0.07 (+4.5%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 36%
Losing outcome 64%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

2.24 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

1.63 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

3.08 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

1.62 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

1.59 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tacticat

Field-Tested

float up to 0.314999

1.34 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Goo

Field-Tested

float up to 0.269999

1.20 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Phantom

Field-Tested

float up to 0.269999

1.24 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure

Field-Tested

float up to 0.247499

1.22 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Ziggy

Field-Tested

float up to 0.323999

1.12 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.05 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.16 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Spectrum 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3380381 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 0.16$ · invest 1.57$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fubar (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Morris (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.484374 instead of 0.481853
Craft 3383332 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 0.16$ · invest 1.53$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Morris (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.479935 instead of 0.481853

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build