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The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −103.10$

Invest at least 227.75$

Average return 124.65$

ROI −45.3%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 227.75 $, profit at most −103.10 $

float premium: at least 120 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −41 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

52.18 $

at 7.45

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) — 8.57 $ +1.12 $ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.1500–0.1683
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Field-Tested) — 38.02 $ +30.57 $ per item · on the market 122 · buy 0.1500–0.1683

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

29.76 $

at 14.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear) — 15.90 $ +1.02 $ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0700–0.0763
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear) — 59.02 $ +44.14 $ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.0700–0.0763

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

13.39 $

at 13.39

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) — 31.61 $ +18.21 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0700–0.1262
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Minimal Wear) — 44.98 $ +31.58 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0841

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 95.33 $ +29.32 (+30.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −53 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

44.72 $

at 7.45

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) — 8.57 $ +1.12 $ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.1500–0.1683
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Field-Tested) — 38.02 $ +30.57 $ per item · on the market 122 · buy 0.1500–0.1683

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

29.76 $

at 14.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear) — 15.90 $ +1.02 $ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0700–0.0763
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear) — 59.02 $ +44.14 $ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.0700–0.0763

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

26.79 $

at 13.39

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) — 31.61 $ +18.21 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0700–0.1262
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Minimal Wear) — 44.98 $ +31.58 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0841

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 101.27 $ +23.87 (+23.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −65 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

37.27 $

at 7.45

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) — 8.57 $ +1.12 $ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.1500–0.1683
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Field-Tested) — 38.02 $ +30.57 $ per item · on the market 122 · buy 0.1500–0.1683

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

29.76 $

at 14.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear) — 15.90 $ +1.02 $ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0700–0.0763
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear) — 59.02 $ +44.14 $ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.0700–0.0763

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

40.18 $

at 13.39

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) — 31.61 $ +18.21 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0700–0.1262
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Minimal Wear) — 44.98 $ +31.58 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0841

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 107.21 $ +18.41 (+17.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −77 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

29.82 $

at 7.45

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) — 8.57 $ +1.12 $ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.1500–0.1683
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Field-Tested) — 38.02 $ +30.57 $ per item · on the market 122 · buy 0.1500–0.1683

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

29.76 $

at 14.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear) — 15.90 $ +1.02 $ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0700–0.0763
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear) — 59.02 $ +44.14 $ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.0700–0.0763

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

53.57 $

at 13.39

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) — 31.61 $ +18.21 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0700–0.1262
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Minimal Wear) — 44.98 $ +31.58 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0841

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 113.15 $ +12.96 (+11.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −89 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

22.36 $

at 7.45

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested) — 8.57 $ +1.12 $ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.1500–0.1683
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Field-Tested) — 38.02 $ +30.57 $ per item · on the market 122 · buy 0.1500–0.1683

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

29.76 $

at 14.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear) — 15.90 $ +1.02 $ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0700–0.0763
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear) — 59.02 $ +44.14 $ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.0700–0.0763

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

66.97 $

at 13.39

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) — 31.61 $ +18.21 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0700–0.1262
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Minimal Wear) — 44.98 $ +31.58 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0841

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 119.09 $ +7.51 (+6.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 5%

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Queen's Gambit

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

145.59 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

139.98 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.147499

213.60 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.089999

83.17 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6.19 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +25.69 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build