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The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −66.76$

Invest at least 174.62$

Average return 107.86$

ROI −38.2%

Chance of profit 15%

With float: invest at least 174.62 $, profit at most −66.76 $

float premium: at least 97 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −32 $

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is +2.44 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈7, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

27.77 $

at 6.94

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New) — 9.01 $ +2.06 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0040
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Factory New) — 9.07 $ +2.13 $ per item · on the market 106 · buy 0.0000–0.0040
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Factory New) — 22.31 $ +15.37 $ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0040

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

43.41 $

at 7.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) — 7.91 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0746
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 11.05 $ +3.81 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0015
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 15.70 $ +8.46 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0039

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 71.18 $ +36.69 (+51.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −49 $

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈8, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0097

55.53 $

at 6.94

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New) — 9.01 $ +2.06 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0097
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Factory New) — 9.07 $ +2.13 $ per item · on the market 106 · buy 0.0000–0.0097
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Factory New) — 22.31 $ +15.37 $ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0097

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0811

14.47 $

at 7.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) — 7.91 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0811
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 11.05 $ +3.81 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0022
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 15.70 $ +8.46 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0057

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 70.00 $ +8.19 (+11.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −45 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈8, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0081

48.59 $

at 6.94

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New) — 9.01 $ +2.06 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0081
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Factory New) — 9.07 $ +2.13 $ per item · on the market 106 · buy 0.0000–0.0081
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Factory New) — 22.31 $ +15.37 $ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0081

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0792

21.70 $

at 7.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) — 7.91 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0792
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 11.05 $ +3.81 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0020
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 15.70 $ +8.46 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0052

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 70.30 $ +15.31 (+21.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −41 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈8, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

41.65 $

at 6.94

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New) — 9.01 $ +2.06 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0066
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Factory New) — 9.07 $ +2.13 $ per item · on the market 106 · buy 0.0000–0.0066
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Factory New) — 22.31 $ +15.37 $ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0066

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

28.94 $

at 7.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) — 7.91 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0776
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 11.05 $ +3.81 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0019
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 15.70 $ +8.46 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0047

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 70.59 $ +22.44 (+31.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −36 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈7, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

34.71 $

at 6.94

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New) — 9.01 $ +2.06 $ per item · on the market 54 · buy 0.0000–0.0053
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Factory New) — 9.07 $ +2.13 $ per item · on the market 106 · buy 0.0000–0.0053
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Factory New) — 22.31 $ +15.37 $ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0053

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

36.17 $

at 7.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) — 7.91 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 11.05 $ +3.81 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0017
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 15.70 $ +8.46 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0043

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 70.88 $ +29.56 (+41.7%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 58%
Losing outcome 42%

in profit

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

140.05 $ 15.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera

Factory New

float up to 0.063243

158.17 $ 15.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Factory New

float up to 0.063243

71.85 $ 15.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

233.00 $ 15.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

134.40 $ 13.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

41.66 $ 13.33%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

42.51 $ 13.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Gamma Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Horizon Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Fracture Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +26.20 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +35.84 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3390333 · The Gallery Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 38.98$ · invest 63.86$
profit on prices without salesat least −24 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074231 instead of 0.074656
Craft 3400155 · The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 37.11$ · invest 80.57$
profit on prices without salesat least −43 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 6; StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074891 instead of 0.074656
Craft 3400477 · The Snakebite Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 35.96$ · invest 59.08$
profit on prices without salesat least −21 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074006 instead of 0.074656
Craft 3388644 · The Fever Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 35.29$ · invest 60.25$
profit on prices without salesat least −23 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074123 instead of 0.074656
Craft 3378311 · The CS20 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 35.04$ · invest 60.22$
profit on prices without salesat least −24 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074231 instead of 0.074656
Craft 3384450 · The Danger Zone Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 34.30$ · invest 56.80$
profit on prices without salesat least −14 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074006 instead of 0.074656
Craft 3389401 · The Fracture Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 31.62$ · invest 57.32$
profit on prices without salesat least −17 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074330 instead of 0.074656
Craft 3392263 · The Genesis Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 31.34$ · invest 75.71$
profit on prices without salesat least −26 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build