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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −50 298.64₸

Invest at least 85 784.66₸

Average return 35 486.01₸

ROI −58.6%

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest at least 85 784.66 ₸, profit at most −50 298.64 ₸

float premium: at least 50 601 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×8

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

24 253.07 ₸

at 3 031.63

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Field-Tested) — 3 036.92 ₸ +5.29 ₸ per item · on the market 748 · buy 0.1500–0.1644
MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested) — 3 073.70 ₸ +42.07 ₸ per item · on the market 689 · buy 0.1500–0.1644

Steam

×1

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

3 427.78 ₸

at 3 427.78

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear) — 3 435.88 ₸ +8.10 ₸ per item · on the market 390 · buy 0.0700–0.0750
MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) — 3 481.43 ₸ +53.65 ₸ per item · on the market 306 · buy 0.0700–0.0750

Steam

×1

Glock-18 | Snack Attack

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4845

7 206.10 ₸

at 7 206.10

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Field-Tested) — 8 098.90 ₸ +892.80 ₸ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.1500–0.2907
MAC-10 | Toybox (Battle-Scarred) — 8 162.23 ₸ +956.12 ₸ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.4500–0.4845

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 34 886.95 ₸ +599.06 (+1.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 5%
Losing outcome 50%
About break-even 45%

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Nightwish

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

33 609.08 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

38 280.77 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Leet Museo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121874

133 101.50 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

36 067.53 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Operation Riptide Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −3 699.87 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −715.70 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Operation Riptide Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3380432 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 543.61₸ · invest 33 895.29₸
P250 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) instead of Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Battle-Scarred); FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170044 instead of 0.164433; FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076971 instead of 0.075020

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build