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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Phoenix Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +0.10$

Invest 1.44$

Average return 1.55$

ROI +7.1%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 3.38 $, profit at most −1.83 $

float premium: at least 2 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +0.20 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈6, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr.

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5151

0.06 $

at 0.06

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Field-Tested) — 0.08 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 827 · buy 0.1500–0.3800
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Field-Tested) — 0.08 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 1 301 · buy 0.1500–0.2936
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 1 439 · buy 0.1500–0.3800

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1772

0.56 $

at 0.08

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 439 · buy 0.1500–0.1595
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 893 · buy 0.1500–0.1772
StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 1 006 · buy 0.1500–0.1772

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4855

0.82 $

at 0.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Field-Tested) — 0.48 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.1500–0.2488
StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Field-Tested) — 0.68 $ +0.27 $ per item · on the market 70 · buy 0.1500–0.2799
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Battle-Scarred) — 0.78 $ +0.37 $ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.4500–0.4732

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.44 $ +0.10 (+7.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1687

0.56 $

at 0.08

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 439 · buy 0.1500–0.1518
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 893 · buy 0.1500–0.1687
StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 1 006 · buy 0.1500–0.1687

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4744

1.23 $

at 0.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Field-Tested) — 0.48 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.1500–0.2425
StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Field-Tested) — 0.68 $ +0.27 $ per item · on the market 70 · buy 0.1500–0.2728
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Battle-Scarred) — 0.78 $ +0.37 $ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.4500–0.4637

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.79 $ +0.20 (+11.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1686

0.48 $

at 0.08

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 439 · buy 0.1500–0.1517
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 893 · buy 0.1500–0.1686
StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 1 006 · buy 0.1500–0.1686

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4743

1.23 $

at 0.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Field-Tested) — 0.48 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.1500–0.2424
StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Field-Tested) — 0.68 $ +0.27 $ per item · on the market 70 · buy 0.1500–0.2727
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Battle-Scarred) — 0.78 $ +0.37 $ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.4500–0.4637

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1686

0.55 $

at 0.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) — 0.85 $ +0.30 $ per item · on the market 263 · buy 0.1500–0.2017
StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear) — 1.13 $ +0.58 $ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0700–0.0762
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 1.48 $ +0.93 $ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0000–0.0678

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.27 $ +0.17 (+7.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1685

0.40 $

at 0.08

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 439 · buy 0.1500–0.1517
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 893 · buy 0.1500–0.1685
StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 1 006 · buy 0.1500–0.1685

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4742

1.23 $

at 0.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Field-Tested) — 0.48 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.1500–0.2424
StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Field-Tested) — 0.68 $ +0.27 $ per item · on the market 70 · buy 0.1500–0.2727
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Battle-Scarred) — 0.78 $ +0.37 $ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.4500–0.4636

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1685

1.11 $

at 0.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) — 0.85 $ +0.30 $ per item · on the market 263 · buy 0.1500–0.2016
StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear) — 1.13 $ +0.58 $ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0700–0.0762
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 1.48 $ +0.93 $ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0000–0.0677

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.74 $ +0.14 (+5.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Spirit Board

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1685

0.32 $

at 0.08

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 439 · buy 0.1500–0.1516
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 893 · buy 0.1500–0.1685
StatTrak™ P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 1 006 · buy 0.1500–0.1685

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4741

1.23 $

at 0.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Field-Tested) — 0.48 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.1500–0.2423
StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Field-Tested) — 0.68 $ +0.27 $ per item · on the market 70 · buy 0.1500–0.2726
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Battle-Scarred) — 0.78 $ +0.37 $ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.4500–0.4635

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1685

1.66 $

at 0.55

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) — 0.85 $ +0.30 $ per item · on the market 263 · buy 0.1500–0.2015
StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear) — 1.13 $ +0.58 $ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0700–0.0761
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 1.48 $ +0.93 $ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0000–0.0677

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.21 $ +0.11 (+3.4%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 80%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Field-Tested

float up to 0.200999

0.32 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Field-Tested

float up to 0.299999

0.57 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror

Field-Tested

float up to 0.209999

1.37 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Field-Tested

float up to 0.227999

0.86 $ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

0.67 $ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

float up to 0.369999

6.06 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat

Field-Tested

float up to 0.299999

6.11 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

float up to 0.249999

5.50 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.113999

5.79 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 only The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.12 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.08 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build