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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −110.48$

Invest at least 183.94$

Average return 73.46$

ROI −60.1%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 183.94 $, profit at most −110.48 $

float premium: at least 112 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×9

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

60.27 $

at 6.70

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Field-Tested) — 6.71 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 748 · buy 0.1500–0.1655
MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested) — 6.79 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 689 · buy 0.1500–0.1655

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | High Roller

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3847

11.77 $

at 11.77

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Field-Tested) — 11.90 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 457 · buy 0.1500–0.2693
R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Field-Tested) — 12.20 $ +0.43 $ per item · on the market 145 · buy 0.1500–0.2877

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 72.04 $ +1.42 (+2.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×8

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1726

53.57 $

at 6.70

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Field-Tested) — 6.71 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 748 · buy 0.1500–0.1726
MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested) — 6.79 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 689 · buy 0.1500–0.1726

Steam

×2

M4A1-S | Leaded Glass

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1726

23.81 $

at 11.90

if this one runs out, you can take

R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Field-Tested) — 12.20 $ +0.30 $ per item · on the market 145 · buy 0.1500–0.1952
PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested) — 12.86 $ +0.95 $ per item · on the market 80 · buy 0.1500–0.2467

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 77.38 $ +0.50 (+0.6%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 45%

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Nightwish

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

74.24 $ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

84.56 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | The Empress

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

118.83 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P250 | See Ya Later

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.131249

141.58 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 3 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 4 The Genesis Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −7.20 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −1.23 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Spectrum 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3386048 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 1.50$ · invest 66.48$
MAG-7 | Justice (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | High Roller (Well-Worn); FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested): float at most 0.178121 instead of 0.165584

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build