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The Dust 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +0.10$

Invest 1.59$

Average return 1.70$

ROI +6.5%

Chance of profit 95%

With float: invest at least 4.07 $, profit at most −2.37 $

float premium: at least 2 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈8, цена занижена

×9

SG 553 | Damascus Steel

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1749

1.33 $

at 0.15

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Brass (Field-Tested) — 0.17 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 899 · buy 0.1500–0.1749
M4A1-S | VariCamo (Minimal Wear) — 0.51 $ +0.36 $ per item · on the market 978 · buy 0.0700–0.1049

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Scumbria

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1749

0.27 $

at 0.27

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Minimal Wear) — 0.37 $ +0.11 $ per item · on the market 164 · buy 0.0700–0.0874
SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) — 0.40 $ +0.14 $ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0700–0.1399
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Field-Tested) — 0.44 $ +0.17 $ per item · on the market 388 · buy 0.1500–0.1749

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.59 $ +0.10 (+6.5%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 5%

in profit

P2000 | Amber Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1.96 $ 90.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Field-Tested

float up to 0.157499

2.83 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

float up to 0.174999

1.21 $ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.108499

2.01 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Wingshot

Field-Tested

float up to 0.157499

1.47 $ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dust 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dust 2 Collection Variant 6 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.21 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.01 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dust 2 Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3386725 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Lake Collection · profit 0.11$ · invest 1.49$
P90 | Teardown (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested); SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164062 instead of 0.174999
Craft 3375247 · The Bank Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 0.11$ · invest 1.62$
CZ75-Auto | Tuxedo (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested); SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170731 instead of 0.174999
Craft 3379219 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Dust 2 Collection · profit 0.11$ · invest 1.64$
Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested); SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168395 instead of 0.174999

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dust 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build